Bearish Gas Market

04 September 2009



The short system seen during the week provided little support in a bearish market.

The short system seen during the week provided little support in a bearish market. It was the supply fundamentals and lower oil numbers that continued to push gas contracts down across the curve. The gas curve is heavily in contango with the Winter 12 contract trading at 60.6p/therm, nearly twice the value of the Winter 09 contract at 32.7p/therm. It is obvious where the pressure is coming from with storage facilities reporting 99% fullness (despite this weeks withdrawals to balance the system); scheduled maintenance at Rough Storage resulting in a halt to further injections combined with the influx of LNG cargoes. This supply situation and mild weather is likely to feature heavy in market sentiment in the coming week. read more ...

UK Gas price highest in World.  

11 September 2009


The UK gas price in Q409 is attracting significant volumes of LNG gas to the UK but there is real doubt as to whether these prices levels will be maintained.  read more...

Falling Wholesale Prices but what about the tariffs?  

18 September 2009


Even though the power wholesale market is following the falls seen in gas (Winter 09 Baseload closed the week down £0.20MWh at £38.70), and is now at levels where supplier tariffs must be under pressure, any tariff reduction announcements are unlikely to be made anytime soon.  read more...

Why is the Dollar Important?  

25 September 2009


With LNG now having a place in the UK gas market, the dollar will influence our energy prices.  read more...


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