The recent oil price increase seen last week has already started to fall and Powerisk explains why it will continue to stall.
The oil market has responded to an increase in stock market prices and the general feel in the world economies that fiscal stimuli will see off recession. However, the recession being world wide affects Opec as much as the UK or the US. Opec have realised that although they may aspire to have oil prices at around $60/brl in reality the world cannot afford those prices. They also recognise that last years high prices has kicked the US and China into a further push to find an alternative to burning oil. There is a real danger that if prices rise back up past $100 that the Middle East will be cooking the goose that lays the golden egg.
14 August 2008
Currency moves has meant that buying $ priced oil and coal will be costing the UK more than in previous months. read more...
25 June 2005
Market highs, put pressure on governments to intervene, who is likely to be the G.Soros of the power market. read more...
31 May 2005
Americans think power price may fall whilst the Brits are happy to view a power price rise. read more...
We have reached peak oil .... again?
Another article in the press this week suggests that we face peak oil imminently (we say another article because various academics have been reporting this fact periodically over the past few years). In any event, whether peak oil (the point at which growth in supply is less than the growth in demand) occurred this week, last month or last year, the point is we have, or are about to, reach a turning point and something ought to be done. read more...
31 July 2009
Another article in the press this week suggests that we face peak oil imminently (we say another article because various academics have been reporting this fact periodically over the past few years). In any event, whether peak oil (the point at which growth in supply is less than the growth in demand) occurred this week, last month or last year, the point is we have, or are about to, reach a turning point and something ought to be done. read more...
What type of recession will it be.
Economists are trying hard to work out if this recession will be a V, W or square root type of recession. read more...
13 May 2009
Economists are trying hard to work out if this recession will be a V, W or square root type of recession. read more...
Oil eases off
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
15 April 2009
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
Oil increases turn gas more bullish
The oil market rose marginally to an change in US stock levels. read more...
25 February 2009
The oil market rose marginally to an change in US stock levels. read more...
Currency moves beginning to effect market.
Currency moves has meant that buying $ priced oil and coal will be costing the UK more than in previous months. read more...
14 August 2008
Currency moves has meant that buying $ priced oil and coal will be costing the UK more than in previous months. read more...
Out with the Old, In with the New
During the last day of trading in 2009, the UK Power curve closes down but what will the New Year hold in store? read more...
31 December 2009
During the last day of trading in 2009, the UK Power curve closes down but what will the New Year hold in store? read more...
Unseasonal Temperatures help to melt prices
Middle of November but no sign of wintery temperatures. The effect was to soften the prompt power market, which also felt the pressure from weak commodity curves. The downward trend fed through the power curve. read more...
16 November 2009
Middle of November but no sign of wintery temperatures. The effect was to soften the prompt power market, which also felt the pressure from weak commodity curves. The downward trend fed through the power curve. read more...
Market forgets basic principles and panics!
It could be said that the market over reacted today in the prompt market with a price rally on the back of a £142 half hourly cash out price. read more...
02 October 2009
It could be said that the market over reacted today in the prompt market with a price rally on the back of a £142 half hourly cash out price. read more...
What's Happening in the Back-End?
The back end of the curve is extremely difficult to trade. Those dipping their toe in tend to be Producers (with excessive length adjusting their risk positions) and Banks looking for some exposure. At the same time Retailers tend to be short-termist. read more...
19 June 2009
The back end of the curve is extremely difficult to trade. Those dipping their toe in tend to be Producers (with excessive length adjusting their risk positions) and Banks looking for some exposure. At the same time Retailers tend to be short-termist. read more...
Budget day sees the UK set lead on carbon
The chancellor stated that he wanted the UK to cut emissions by 34% by 2020. read more...
22 April 2009
The chancellor stated that he wanted the UK to cut emissions by 34% by 2020. read more...
Natural Gas the one to watch
The power curve ended the week down feeling the pressure from the fuel curves as well as healthy supply situation. Looking forward, the gas market is the one to watch as it continues to dominant the fuel mix accounting for 50% of generating plant. read more...
08 March 2010
The power curve ended the week down feeling the pressure from the fuel curves as well as healthy supply situation. Looking forward, the gas market is the one to watch as it continues to dominant the fuel mix accounting for 50% of generating plant. read more...
Power Prices Fall without Obama's help
While comments from President Obama on the banking industry hit the share price in most major companies, the UK power market managed to achieve losses all by itself. read more...
22 January 2010
While comments from President Obama on the banking industry hit the share price in most major companies, the UK power market managed to achieve losses all by itself. read more...
Bearish Gas Market
The short system seen during the week provided little support in a bearish market. read more...
04 September 2009
The short system seen during the week provided little support in a bearish market. read more...
New trading levels anticipated in UK Power Markets
The electricity market saw two main technical levels breached for the first time in the Summer 10 and Winter 10 contracts. read more...
28 August 2009
The electricity market saw two main technical levels breached for the first time in the Summer 10 and Winter 10 contracts. read more...
Oil eases off
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
15 April 2009
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
Green Investment Bank still a Concept
Leading figures from across industry warned that the need for new tools to finance future investment in infrastructure are necessary to secure Britain's growth as a low carbon economy. While the coalitions Green Investment Bank (GIB) is supported, it is important to recognise that it is still at present only a concept. read more...
16 July 2010
Leading figures from across industry warned that the need for new tools to finance future investment in infrastructure are necessary to secure Britain's growth as a low carbon economy. While the coalitions Green Investment Bank (GIB) is supported, it is important to recognise that it is still at present only a concept. read more...
A week of Positives
This was a week for good news in the Financial markets; the IMF upgraded its forecasts for world economic growth and there was increasing confidence that European banks would pass their stress tests. Borrowers were pleased, though not surprised that UK interest rates remained unchanged. Overall world stock markets recorded gains across the week. read more...
09 July 2010
This was a week for good news in the Financial markets; the IMF upgraded its forecasts for world economic growth and there was increasing confidence that European banks would pass their stress tests. Borrowers were pleased, though not surprised that UK interest rates remained unchanged. Overall world stock markets recorded gains across the week. read more...
Unemployment Figures Rise
Unemployment rose to 2.47m during the first 3 months of the year and with further public sector cuts widely anticipated, things don't look particularly rosy. A very tricky balancing act lies ahead - sort out the deficit but beware the pull from the black hole called recession. read more...
16 June 2010
Unemployment rose to 2.47m during the first 3 months of the year and with further public sector cuts widely anticipated, things don't look particularly rosy. A very tricky balancing act lies ahead - sort out the deficit but beware the pull from the black hole called recession. read more...
A Week for Releasing Figures
With the political debate heating up; more 'head to heads' scheduled and with the News Channels pouring over polls, polls of polls and more polls - then the economic figures coming out this week are surely going to add a lot more ingredients to the boiling pot. read more...
20 April 2010
With the political debate heating up; more 'head to heads' scheduled and with the News Channels pouring over polls, polls of polls and more polls - then the economic figures coming out this week are surely going to add a lot more ingredients to the boiling pot. read more...
Confidence Is out there - but are the Foundations Strong?
The signs are positive. Business confidence is high; appetite for financial risk is increasing and stocks are starting to outperform safe assets such as cash and gold. But with political uncertainty still looming and still an amazing lack of clarity with regard plans to 'bail out' UK plc', there is a great risk that this confidence will ebb away. read more...
12 April 2010
The signs are positive. Business confidence is high; appetite for financial risk is increasing and stocks are starting to outperform safe assets such as cash and gold. But with political uncertainty still looming and still an amazing lack of clarity with regard plans to 'bail out' UK plc', there is a great risk that this confidence will ebb away. read more...
Suddenly it's "British Petroleum"
A name not used in a very long time, but suddenly the US are quick to refer to BP by its old name of British Petroleum, hoping perhaps to distance itself from blame regarding the disastrous oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. But as the US announces a criminal investigation and as BP shares suffer further should the British economy concern itself? read more...
02 June 2010
A name not used in a very long time, but suddenly the US are quick to refer to BP by its old name of British Petroleum, hoping perhaps to distance itself from blame regarding the disastrous oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. But as the US announces a criminal investigation and as BP shares suffer further should the British economy concern itself? read more...
Why is the Dollar Important?
With LNG now having a place in the UK gas market, the dollar will influence our energy prices. read more...
25 September 2009
With LNG now having a place in the UK gas market, the dollar will influence our energy prices. read more...
Deflation versus Hyper Inflation
The economic circumstances are forcing many businesses to look at whether we face a world of declining growth or rampant uncontrollable growth. read more...
18 February 2009
The economic circumstances are forcing many businesses to look at whether we face a world of declining growth or rampant uncontrollable growth. read more...
Credit Impacts on Liquidity
The Energy Markets are still trading with the banks including Lehman Brothers, the 4th largest investment bank in the US who is struggling to shore up its position following its significant sub-prime related losses. read more...
11 September 2008
The Energy Markets are still trading with the banks including Lehman Brothers, the 4th largest investment bank in the US who is struggling to shore up its position following its significant sub-prime related losses. read more...
The art of front running
Front running a position can cause some players to look good, but it might be the way to start to trade a contango market read more...
06 March 2008
Front running a position can cause some players to look good, but it might be the way to start to trade a contango market read more...
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