Copper is seen as one of the best barometers of when a recession is coming to an end.
There is an argument which states that when copper prices have bottomed out then is the time to jump back into the markets. History has also shown that copper prices are a good indicator, but Powerisk suggests being a little more prudent when it comes to using copper as a barometer. As copper prices rose to nearly $9000/tonne a huge scrap market in copper trading ensued. In fact it is estimated that nearly a quarter of the worlds copper comes from scrap larger than the any single country (Chile being the largest producer of copper). Prices have recently risen from the lows of below $3000 to above $4000 on the back of scaremongering round how much scrap is available. If one couples this with China stockpiling, and buying new copper, it is no wonder that the price has risen but the fundamentals do not point to a change around in fortunes. How is this all related to energy well copper is still used in transporting electricity.
22 January 2009
The UK pound is under severe pressure as economic woes weigh. read more...
19 November 2008
Expectations regards a reduction in Industrial demand are beginning to crystallise with December being the crunch month. read more...
14 August 2008
Currency moves has meant that buying $ priced oil and coal will be costing the UK more than in previous months. read more...
02 February 2007
The market is now stating that it is close to the bottom, this generally means that there is further to go. read more...
Out with the Old, In with the New
During the last day of trading in 2009, the UK Power curve closes down but what will the New Year hold in store? read more...
31 December 2009
During the last day of trading in 2009, the UK Power curve closes down but what will the New Year hold in store? read more...
Unseasonal Temperatures help to melt prices
Middle of November but no sign of wintery temperatures. The effect was to soften the prompt power market, which also felt the pressure from weak commodity curves. The downward trend fed through the power curve. read more...
16 November 2009
Middle of November but no sign of wintery temperatures. The effect was to soften the prompt power market, which also felt the pressure from weak commodity curves. The downward trend fed through the power curve. read more...
Market forgets basic principles and panics!
It could be said that the market over reacted today in the prompt market with a price rally on the back of a £142 half hourly cash out price. read more...
02 October 2009
It could be said that the market over reacted today in the prompt market with a price rally on the back of a £142 half hourly cash out price. read more...
What's Happening in the Back-End?
The back end of the curve is extremely difficult to trade. Those dipping their toe in tend to be Producers (with excessive length adjusting their risk positions) and Banks looking for some exposure. At the same time Retailers tend to be short-termist. read more...
19 June 2009
The back end of the curve is extremely difficult to trade. Those dipping their toe in tend to be Producers (with excessive length adjusting their risk positions) and Banks looking for some exposure. At the same time Retailers tend to be short-termist. read more...
Budget day sees the UK set lead on carbon
The chancellor stated that he wanted the UK to cut emissions by 34% by 2020. read more...
22 April 2009
The chancellor stated that he wanted the UK to cut emissions by 34% by 2020. read more...
Natural Gas the one to watch
The power curve ended the week down feeling the pressure from the fuel curves as well as healthy supply situation. Looking forward, the gas market is the one to watch as it continues to dominant the fuel mix accounting for 50% of generating plant. read more...
08 March 2010
The power curve ended the week down feeling the pressure from the fuel curves as well as healthy supply situation. Looking forward, the gas market is the one to watch as it continues to dominant the fuel mix accounting for 50% of generating plant. read more...
Power Prices Fall without Obama's help
While comments from President Obama on the banking industry hit the share price in most major companies, the UK power market managed to achieve losses all by itself. read more...
22 January 2010
While comments from President Obama on the banking industry hit the share price in most major companies, the UK power market managed to achieve losses all by itself. read more...
Bearish Gas Market
The short system seen during the week provided little support in a bearish market. read more...
04 September 2009
The short system seen during the week provided little support in a bearish market. read more...
New trading levels anticipated in UK Power Markets
The electricity market saw two main technical levels breached for the first time in the Summer 10 and Winter 10 contracts. read more...
28 August 2009
The electricity market saw two main technical levels breached for the first time in the Summer 10 and Winter 10 contracts. read more...
Oil eases off
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
15 April 2009
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
Green Investment Bank still a Concept
Leading figures from across industry warned that the need for new tools to finance future investment in infrastructure are necessary to secure Britain's growth as a low carbon economy. While the coalitions Green Investment Bank (GIB) is supported, it is important to recognise that it is still at present only a concept. read more...
16 July 2010
Leading figures from across industry warned that the need for new tools to finance future investment in infrastructure are necessary to secure Britain's growth as a low carbon economy. While the coalitions Green Investment Bank (GIB) is supported, it is important to recognise that it is still at present only a concept. read more...
A week of Positives
This was a week for good news in the Financial markets; the IMF upgraded its forecasts for world economic growth and there was increasing confidence that European banks would pass their stress tests. Borrowers were pleased, though not surprised that UK interest rates remained unchanged. Overall world stock markets recorded gains across the week. read more...
09 July 2010
This was a week for good news in the Financial markets; the IMF upgraded its forecasts for world economic growth and there was increasing confidence that European banks would pass their stress tests. Borrowers were pleased, though not surprised that UK interest rates remained unchanged. Overall world stock markets recorded gains across the week. read more...
Unemployment Figures Rise
Unemployment rose to 2.47m during the first 3 months of the year and with further public sector cuts widely anticipated, things don't look particularly rosy. A very tricky balancing act lies ahead - sort out the deficit but beware the pull from the black hole called recession. read more...
16 June 2010
Unemployment rose to 2.47m during the first 3 months of the year and with further public sector cuts widely anticipated, things don't look particularly rosy. A very tricky balancing act lies ahead - sort out the deficit but beware the pull from the black hole called recession. read more...
A Week for Releasing Figures
With the political debate heating up; more 'head to heads' scheduled and with the News Channels pouring over polls, polls of polls and more polls - then the economic figures coming out this week are surely going to add a lot more ingredients to the boiling pot. read more...
20 April 2010
With the political debate heating up; more 'head to heads' scheduled and with the News Channels pouring over polls, polls of polls and more polls - then the economic figures coming out this week are surely going to add a lot more ingredients to the boiling pot. read more...
Confidence Is out there - but are the Foundations Strong?
The signs are positive. Business confidence is high; appetite for financial risk is increasing and stocks are starting to outperform safe assets such as cash and gold. But with political uncertainty still looming and still an amazing lack of clarity with regard plans to 'bail out' UK plc', there is a great risk that this confidence will ebb away. read more...
12 April 2010
The signs are positive. Business confidence is high; appetite for financial risk is increasing and stocks are starting to outperform safe assets such as cash and gold. But with political uncertainty still looming and still an amazing lack of clarity with regard plans to 'bail out' UK plc', there is a great risk that this confidence will ebb away. read more...
2nd Quarter Growth at 1.1%; What Role For Energy
Preliminary figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) suggests the UK economy grew by 1.1% in the second quarter, up from the previous quarter's 0.3%. While the figures are preliminary (and based on around 40% of the ultimate data), what they do show is that construction, a relatively small part of the economy, contributed significantly to this growth figure. With 6 out of 10 civil engineering firms looking to the energy and water sectors for their income streams, it seems energy has a role to play in underpinning the recovery. read more...
23 July 2010
Preliminary figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) suggests the UK economy grew by 1.1% in the second quarter, up from the previous quarter's 0.3%. While the figures are preliminary (and based on around 40% of the ultimate data), what they do show is that construction, a relatively small part of the economy, contributed significantly to this growth figure. With 6 out of 10 civil engineering firms looking to the energy and water sectors for their income streams, it seems energy has a role to play in underpinning the recovery. read more...
Green Investment Bank still a Concept
Leading figures from across industry warned that the need for new tools to finance future investment in infrastructure are necessary to secure Britain's growth as a low carbon economy. While the coalitions Green Investment Bank (GIB) is supported, it is important to recognise that it is still at present only a concept. read more...
16 July 2010
Leading figures from across industry warned that the need for new tools to finance future investment in infrastructure are necessary to secure Britain's growth as a low carbon economy. While the coalitions Green Investment Bank (GIB) is supported, it is important to recognise that it is still at present only a concept. read more...
Suddenly it's "British Petroleum"
A name not used in a very long time, but suddenly the US are quick to refer to BP by its old name of British Petroleum, hoping perhaps to distance itself from blame regarding the disastrous oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. But as the US announces a criminal investigation and as BP shares suffer further should the British economy concern itself? read more...
02 June 2010
A name not used in a very long time, but suddenly the US are quick to refer to BP by its old name of British Petroleum, hoping perhaps to distance itself from blame regarding the disastrous oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. But as the US announces a criminal investigation and as BP shares suffer further should the British economy concern itself? read more...
A Week for Releasing Figures
With the political debate heating up; more 'head to heads' scheduled and with the News Channels pouring over polls, polls of polls and more polls - then the economic figures coming out this week are surely going to add a lot more ingredients to the boiling pot. read more...
20 April 2010
With the political debate heating up; more 'head to heads' scheduled and with the News Channels pouring over polls, polls of polls and more polls - then the economic figures coming out this week are surely going to add a lot more ingredients to the boiling pot. read more...
UK Manufacturing slides further
Corus announce plans to mothball most of its Teeside Cast Products steelmaking site - resulting in a loss of over 1,700 jobs and slate the UK Government at the same time for its lack of support. read more...
07 December 2009
Corus announce plans to mothball most of its Teeside Cast Products steelmaking site - resulting in a loss of over 1,700 jobs and slate the UK Government at the same time for its lack of support. read more...
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