Evan Davis' article on Setting prices is well worth a read Powerisk has a few additions to his story.
Evan Davis has written a fantastic blog on energy prices (see article)
However, there are a couple of additional issues which he should think about:
- Markets assume that there will be limnited government input. If governments threaten to plan to impose windfall taxes, then energy companies will hold out to make hay when they can.
- The theory of the kinked demand curve whilst accurate in the case of power is always being challenged by regulators but the market is also vertically integrated and so the theory can break down in practice.
- Energy companies a little like the economy have traditionally under spent on investment, and see real opportunities in green energy which will cost more and hence why prices (wholesale or retail) also must increase.
It is still a great article and worth a read.
20 November 2007
ICAP look to take on exchanges. read more...
22 March 2006
The market has ticked down a little with a sell of in April due to a relaxation in the supposed gas fears and the market has fallen on the back of this. Winter 06 still looks high and perhaps some of the shorts might come and sell at these levels, but there are not many shorts in the market, willing to take the risk. read more...
19 January 2006
Enron are back in the news, and their story is an interesting one. The market has survived without them but in truth is, it is a very different place that probably mourns their departure more than most would admit. read more...
31 May 2005
Americans think power price may fall whilst the Brits are happy to view a power price rise. read more...
13 April 2005
IAS 39 appears to be a minefield for accountants to make money. read more...
Gains Seen Across the Curve
There was no sign of an early Christmas in the power market on Friday with a 'flurry' of trading resulting in gains across the power curve. read more...
21 December 2009
There was no sign of an early Christmas in the power market on Friday with a 'flurry' of trading resulting in gains across the power curve. read more...
New trading levels anticipated in UK Power Markets
The electricity market saw two main technical levels breached for the first time in the Summer 10 and Winter 10 contracts. read more...
28 August 2009
The electricity market saw two main technical levels breached for the first time in the Summer 10 and Winter 10 contracts. read more...
Night Night Power Market!
The market seems warm and cosy (aka stable with low volatility) - but wait until the players return in September! read more...
07 August 2009
The market seems warm and cosy (aka stable with low volatility) - but wait until the players return in September! read more...
Budget day sees the UK set lead on carbon
The chancellor stated that he wanted the UK to cut emissions by 34% by 2020. read more...
22 April 2009
The chancellor stated that he wanted the UK to cut emissions by 34% by 2020. read more...
Ofgem enquiry completed
Ofgem have completed their competition probe and not really delivered for business. read more...
18 March 2009
Ofgem have completed their competition probe and not really delivered for business. read more...
We're borrowing less than expected....
As the government prepares its spending review it will no doubt welcome the latest figures that show net borrowing for July at £3.8bn. While still sizeable, this is £1.2bn less than forecast and well down on the £6.1bn that was borrowed in the same month last year. read more...
20 August 2010
As the government prepares its spending review it will no doubt welcome the latest figures that show net borrowing for July at £3.8bn. While still sizeable, this is £1.2bn less than forecast and well down on the £6.1bn that was borrowed in the same month last year. read more...
Confidence knocked in the Financial Markets
Statements from around the world all suggest a stalled recovery while closer to home there are continuing signs of inflationary pressures at a time of slow to stagnant growth. read more...
12 August 2010
Statements from around the world all suggest a stalled recovery while closer to home there are continuing signs of inflationary pressures at a time of slow to stagnant growth. read more...
Energy Secretary gives the first annual energy statement to the Commons
Chris Huhne, the coalition government Energy Secretary yesterday gave the first annual energy statement to the Commons. He set out plans to secure energy supplies and cut carbon emissions. In all 32 measures were outlined all with the aim of helping the UK achieve the legally binding target to cut emission by 80% by 2050. read more...
28 July 2010
Chris Huhne, the coalition government Energy Secretary yesterday gave the first annual energy statement to the Commons. He set out plans to secure energy supplies and cut carbon emissions. In all 32 measures were outlined all with the aim of helping the UK achieve the legally binding target to cut emission by 80% by 2050. read more...
2nd Quarter Growth at 1.1%; What Role For Energy
Preliminary figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) suggests the UK economy grew by 1.1% in the second quarter, up from the previous quarter's 0.3%. While the figures are preliminary (and based on around 40% of the ultimate data), what they do show is that construction, a relatively small part of the economy, contributed significantly to this growth figure. With 6 out of 10 civil engineering firms looking to the energy and water sectors for their income streams, it seems energy has a role to play in underpinning the recovery. read more...
23 July 2010
Preliminary figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) suggests the UK economy grew by 1.1% in the second quarter, up from the previous quarter's 0.3%. While the figures are preliminary (and based on around 40% of the ultimate data), what they do show is that construction, a relatively small part of the economy, contributed significantly to this growth figure. With 6 out of 10 civil engineering firms looking to the energy and water sectors for their income streams, it seems energy has a role to play in underpinning the recovery. read more...
A week of Positives
This was a week for good news in the Financial markets; the IMF upgraded its forecasts for world economic growth and there was increasing confidence that European banks would pass their stress tests. Borrowers were pleased, though not surprised that UK interest rates remained unchanged. Overall world stock markets recorded gains across the week. read more...
09 July 2010
This was a week for good news in the Financial markets; the IMF upgraded its forecasts for world economic growth and there was increasing confidence that European banks would pass their stress tests. Borrowers were pleased, though not surprised that UK interest rates remained unchanged. Overall world stock markets recorded gains across the week. read more...
Falling Wholesale Prices but what about the tariffs?
Even though the power wholesale market is following the falls seen in gas (Winter 09 Baseload closed the week down £0.20MWh at £38.70), and is now at levels where supplier tariffs must be under pressure, any tariff reduction announcements are unlikely to be made anytime soon. read more...
18 September 2009
Even though the power wholesale market is following the falls seen in gas (Winter 09 Baseload closed the week down £0.20MWh at £38.70), and is now at levels where supplier tariffs must be under pressure, any tariff reduction announcements are unlikely to be made anytime soon. read more...
Who will have the last laugh on the Green Agenda?
The Government’s announcement last week on the projected state of the UK energy industry is interesting and informative and demonstrates their willingness to impose a green agenda - but at what cost? read more...
24 July 2009
The Government’s announcement last week on the projected state of the UK energy industry is interesting and informative and demonstrates their willingness to impose a green agenda - but at what cost? read more...
Ofgem enquiry completed
Ofgem have completed their competition probe and not really delivered for business. read more...
18 March 2009
Ofgem have completed their competition probe and not really delivered for business. read more...
Imera secures new inter connector
Imera an Irish consortium has secured a good growth opportunity for 2011. read more...
07 December 2008
Imera an Irish consortium has secured a good growth opportunity for 2011. read more...
Ofgem to Publish Competition FIndings
Ofgem is expected to publish its findings as to whether competition is working effectively across the market next week. read more...
02 October 2008
Ofgem is expected to publish its findings as to whether competition is working effectively across the market next week. read more...
We're borrowing less than expected....
As the government prepares its spending review it will no doubt welcome the latest figures that show net borrowing for July at £3.8bn. While still sizeable, this is £1.2bn less than forecast and well down on the £6.1bn that was borrowed in the same month last year. read more...
20 August 2010
As the government prepares its spending review it will no doubt welcome the latest figures that show net borrowing for July at £3.8bn. While still sizeable, this is £1.2bn less than forecast and well down on the £6.1bn that was borrowed in the same month last year. read more...
Confidence knocked in the Financial Markets
Statements from around the world all suggest a stalled recovery while closer to home there are continuing signs of inflationary pressures at a time of slow to stagnant growth. read more...
12 August 2010
Statements from around the world all suggest a stalled recovery while closer to home there are continuing signs of inflationary pressures at a time of slow to stagnant growth. read more...
Green Investment Bank still a Concept
Leading figures from across industry warned that the need for new tools to finance future investment in infrastructure are necessary to secure Britain's growth as a low carbon economy. While the coalitions Green Investment Bank (GIB) is supported, it is important to recognise that it is still at present only a concept. read more...
16 July 2010
Leading figures from across industry warned that the need for new tools to finance future investment in infrastructure are necessary to secure Britain's growth as a low carbon economy. While the coalitions Green Investment Bank (GIB) is supported, it is important to recognise that it is still at present only a concept. read more...
A week of Positives
This was a week for good news in the Financial markets; the IMF upgraded its forecasts for world economic growth and there was increasing confidence that European banks would pass their stress tests. Borrowers were pleased, though not surprised that UK interest rates remained unchanged. Overall world stock markets recorded gains across the week. read more...
09 July 2010
This was a week for good news in the Financial markets; the IMF upgraded its forecasts for world economic growth and there was increasing confidence that European banks would pass their stress tests. Borrowers were pleased, though not surprised that UK interest rates remained unchanged. Overall world stock markets recorded gains across the week. read more...
Unemployment Figures Rise
Unemployment rose to 2.47m during the first 3 months of the year and with further public sector cuts widely anticipated, things don't look particularly rosy. A very tricky balancing act lies ahead - sort out the deficit but beware the pull from the black hole called recession. read more...
16 June 2010
Unemployment rose to 2.47m during the first 3 months of the year and with further public sector cuts widely anticipated, things don't look particularly rosy. A very tricky balancing act lies ahead - sort out the deficit but beware the pull from the black hole called recession. read more...
Suddenly it's "British Petroleum"
A name not used in a very long time, but suddenly the US are quick to refer to BP by its old name of British Petroleum, hoping perhaps to distance itself from blame regarding the disastrous oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. But as the US announces a criminal investigation and as BP shares suffer further should the British economy concern itself? read more...
02 June 2010
A name not used in a very long time, but suddenly the US are quick to refer to BP by its old name of British Petroleum, hoping perhaps to distance itself from blame regarding the disastrous oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. But as the US announces a criminal investigation and as BP shares suffer further should the British economy concern itself? read more...
Why is the Dollar Important?
With LNG now having a place in the UK gas market, the dollar will influence our energy prices. read more...
25 September 2009
With LNG now having a place in the UK gas market, the dollar will influence our energy prices. read more...
Recent oil price rises will not last
The recent oil price increase seen last week has already started to fall and Powerisk explains why it will continue to stall. read more...
25 March 2009
The recent oil price increase seen last week has already started to fall and Powerisk explains why it will continue to stall. read more...
Deflation versus Hyper Inflation
The economic circumstances are forcing many businesses to look at whether we face a world of declining growth or rampant uncontrollable growth. read more...
18 February 2009
The economic circumstances are forcing many businesses to look at whether we face a world of declining growth or rampant uncontrollable growth. read more...
Credit Impacts on Liquidity
The Energy Markets are still trading with the banks including Lehman Brothers, the 4th largest investment bank in the US who is struggling to shore up its position following its significant sub-prime related losses. read more...
11 September 2008
The Energy Markets are still trading with the banks including Lehman Brothers, the 4th largest investment bank in the US who is struggling to shore up its position following its significant sub-prime related losses. read more...
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