Oil slides could start the sell off

10 October 2007

Markets see oil fall off below $80 but when this happened last week is was not sustained. Auctioning of EUA's being looked at by the government.

As oil fell below $80 as pressure on non dollar currencies was seen this could be the start of an October sell off. One swallow does not make summer and so we have see a sustained push on oil prices before trading on the back of a potential fall.  Certainly the news should start to put some bearish pressure on gas and power prices.

One area of slight concern is that the government have hinted in their PBR (pre-budget report) that they favour auction of green allowances, if this is the case then we can expect to see a significant increase in power prices and the possibility of greater profits in this sector. This could effect the back of the curve as a result.  


Bear Market  Forward Curve  Climate Change  Oil 

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