
15 March 2007
Dark spreads look almost too healthy for Winter 07
Coal plant in Winter 07 will be expecting to make around £20/MWh on the dark spread, gas plant will be making £5.80/MWh. So on todays prices for Winter 07 there are two possible scenarios. If gas prices rise then we will see a signficant rise in power prices. If they stay where they are then we will see competition for plant and if availability is there then expect the dark spread to narrow.
If power stations have forward bought some of the coal and gas then they will be able to get even better prices than above and this in turn will lead to greater competition. Given that the gas has no where else to go it is more than likely that Winter 07 power prices are too high, and that traders of the spark spread will look to sell power to make the spark spread fall.
100 %
A tale of the forward dark spread.
 
16 October 2006
Some long term hedging is effecting the market and the lack of buyers has caused the markets to turn South, although oil has bobbled up on Friday the long term trend still appears to be down.  
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100 %
The fundamentals of Summer 06
 
30 January 2006
Spark and dark spreads show that the need for gas during the Summer is low, so we should see a hike in spark spread and a fall in gas prices, but it doesn't always work like that.  
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Energy Forward Prices continue to gain ground
 
10 June 2011
Despite market participants describing the market as stagnant and directionless, energy forward prices continue to gain ground. Winter 11 power closed the week up at £59.65/MWh while NBP Winter 11 gas finished at 72.20p/therm.  
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Downward Trend Still in Play
 
13 May 2011
Most contracts in the UK energy markets continued to lose ground this week enforcing the downward trend that has been in play since the start of the month. The Winter 11 contracts closed the week at £57.60MW/h and 68.85p/therm.  
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Winter 11 - A Slippery Slope
 
06 May 2011
While March was a month of shocks and gains, April seems to have marked the start of a downward trend in the UK power market. The WInter 11 contract is just one example.  
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The Market in April 2011
 
28 April 2011
In comparison to the activity seen in March – the energy markets seemed relatively sedate shedding some of the value along the way.  
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Winter 11 - A Slippery Slope
 
06 May 2011
While March was a month of shocks and gains, April seems to have marked the start of a downward trend in the UK power market. The WInter 11 contract is just one example.  
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Where's the certainty?
 
23 December 2009
There was a time when you could quite comfortably forecast the running order of generation plant in the UK - but 2009 has seen a dramatic turn in the stack!  
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A sliding Prompt
 
14 November 2008
A comfortable system in terms of supply margins left the prompt power market sliding.  
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February Monthly Round Up
 
25 February 2011
February was dominated by news of unrest spreading throughout the Middle East and this had a direct impact on all aspects of the UK energy market with gains seen in the UK Power and NBP Gas curves.  
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Where has the market got left to go?
 
03 September 2010
Clean spark spread prices in Winter’s 11 and 12 are trading below £5.00MWh (closing at £4.87 and £4.59 respectively). The equivalent Summer’s are not that much stronger asking some to ask is there anymore downside left at these levels.  
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Where's the certainty?
 
23 December 2009
There was a time when you could quite comfortably forecast the running order of generation plant in the UK - but 2009 has seen a dramatic turn in the stack!  
read more...