Fundamental Lows (Part 1)

22 January 2007

Fundamental lows are something many traders ignore. But Warren Buffet and George Soros are fundamental traders and they seem to have got many things right!

There are two types of traders:-

- The quick, barrow boy, who can see the way a market is moving and ride the wave. These players are often looking for small frequent movements looking to get in and out of the market quickly. They also tend to burn out by the time they are in their mid thirties.

- The second is the slow sage, who has seen the markets and is looking for a fundamental shift. These players are not necessarily looking for the bottom of the market but they are looking for the fundamental shift. For example players in the oil industry looked in 2003 to buy oil and sell halfway through 2006 holding a trade for this long is not necessarily smart but it is what the fundamental players like to do.

At the moment the lazy fundamental players are scratching their heads and seeing that fundamentally some lows are potentially likely to be around for a 3-6 month window and then the market will look to rise.

 


Forward Curve  Protocols 

Related Articles
100 % Net UK Carbon position down 0.01%  

31 January 2008


Targets look quite difficult to achieve just by cutting the norm!  read more...

100 % Power Trade Forum talks the talk  

07 April 2006


Power trade forum definitely is heading in the right direction but perhaps some of the large customers are not truly reflecting the will of the players in the whole market. Time will tell.  read more...

100 % The lack of liquidity is proved in report.  

25 August 2005


Market falls in prompt, and overall traded volumes. A small pick up in the back end of the curve caused by gas was reported.  read more...

50 % Steel industry exposed to Power Prices  

12 April 2005


Morgan Stanley downgrades Corus.  read more...

50 % 5% increase for 2010  

11 February 2005


Renewables will cost customers £1bn  read more...


other articles on Forward Curve
Energy Forward Prices continue to gain ground  

10 June 2011


Despite market participants describing the market as stagnant and directionless, energy forward prices continue to gain ground. Winter 11 power closed the week up at £59.65/MWh while NBP Winter 11 gas finished at 72.20p/therm.  read more...

The Market in April 2011  

28 April 2011


In comparison to the activity seen in March – the energy markets seemed relatively sedate shedding some of the value along the way.  read more...

Carbon Floor Price Announcement: The Market Reacts  

25 March 2011


The tensions seen in the markets last week, as participants assessed the impact of Japan and nuclear withdrawal in Germany, appeared to have eased when the market started trading on Monday. The Government's mid week budget Carbon Floor Price announcement soon changes that though  read more...

Crude Oil Breaks Through $110bbl  

04 March 2011


Unfolding news in the Middle East continued to dominate the UK energy markets this week. When crude oil prices broke through $100bbl at the start of the month, the impact was noticeable on UK gas prices and Power prices in turn. Winter 11 power and gas closed the week at £55.75/MWh and 67p/therm respectively.  read more...

New White Paper highlights need for Energy Risk Management  

11 November 2010


Yesterday, npower launched its new white paper, commissioned from the London School of Economics on Energy Risk Management for UK business. The paper comes on the back of research that suggests that UK businesses now feel that energy presents a higher level of risk to their business than health and safety and security issues. But what should businesses be doing to manage the risks?  read more...


other articles on Protocols
Speculator Irony  

19 September 2008


With all that has happened in the financial markets this past few days, and with Lehman Brothers collapsing on the 14th September, the one thing that has remained constant is the Speculator Trader rubbished as a cause of volatility and prices rises in one market or another.  read more...

Net UK Carbon position down 0.01%  

31 January 2008


Targets look quite difficult to achieve just by cutting the norm!  read more...

Large Plant Combustion Directive  

06 December 2007


We must watch carefully as to when and how old coal plant starts getting superceded.  read more...

Traders through thin volume start to look at Carbon  

03 December 2007


Bali conference bound to produce some interesting snippets, but more likely to "guilt" the non-particpants into action.  read more...

Ofgem likely to expand remit  

19 September 2007


Ofgem look to manage carbon regulation  read more...


Energy News by Date
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
december november october september august july jun may april march february january
RSS Feed
Keep up to date on energy trading news.
Click here to subscribe
RSS
Day Ahead Electricity Prices

1y  6m  3m  1m
Powerisk Online
Powerisk Online tools and services.
Click here to login
Glossary
Glossary
Powerisk glossary of power terminology.
Click here for glossary
Glossary