
02 February 2007
The market is now stating that it is close to the bottom, this generally means that there is further to go.
The market suffered a slight downturn in liquidity as players took stock of recent falls. Gas prices continued to tick down and emissions were hit again in Phase I. The market is most nervous of returning to below £20 when many power plant would not be financially viable and banks with foreclose on loans. A situation which was most unpleasant for some four to five years ago.
It is clear that some traders feel that the market cannot afford to go further South, but buyers are rare and although the natural buyers which sometimes have shown their faces aggressively in a rising market have been slow to come to market and are being much more cagey with their trading. This is good news as it is making those natural longs BE and Drax very nervous of what could happen in the future.
BE have recently stated that prices below £22 are not sustainable and so this Summer is looking interesting.
Unseasonal Temperatures help to melt prices
 
16 November 2009
Middle of November but no sign of wintery temperatures. The effect was to soften the prompt power market, which also felt the pressure from weak commodity curves. The downward trend fed through the power curve.  
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What's Happening in the Back-End?
 
19 June 2009
The back end of the curve is extremely difficult to trade. Those dipping their toe in tend to be Producers (with excessive length adjusting their risk positions) and Banks looking for some exposure. At the same time Retailers tend to be short-termist.  
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All Quiet....
 
30 July 2010
A very quiet day in the UK energy markets which saw very little traded during the period - hardly surprising given the combination of usual Friday slowdown, holidays, a comfortable system as well it being the last traded day of the month.  
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Natural Gas the one to watch
 
08 March 2010
The power curve ended the week down feeling the pressure from the fuel curves as well as healthy supply situation. Looking forward, the gas market is the one to watch as it continues to dominant the fuel mix accounting for 50% of generating plant.  
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We're borrowing less than expected....
 
20 August 2010
As the government prepares its spending review it will no doubt welcome the latest figures that show net borrowing for July at £3.8bn. While still sizeable, this is £1.2bn less than forecast and well down on the £6.1bn that was borrowed in the same month last year.  
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Green Investment Bank still a Concept
 
16 July 2010
Leading figures from across industry warned that the need for new tools to finance future investment in infrastructure are necessary to secure Britain's growth as a low carbon economy. While the coalitions Green Investment Bank (GIB) is supported, it is important to recognise that it is still at present only a concept.  
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A week of Positives
 
09 July 2010
This was a week for good news in the Financial markets; the IMF upgraded its forecasts for world economic growth and there was increasing confidence that European banks would pass their stress tests. Borrowers were pleased, though not surprised that UK interest rates remained unchanged. Overall world stock markets recorded gains across the week.  
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Unemployment Figures Rise
 
16 June 2010
Unemployment rose to 2.47m during the first 3 months of the year and with further public sector cuts widely anticipated, things don't look particularly rosy. A very tricky balancing act lies ahead - sort out the deficit but beware the pull from the black hole called recession.  
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