The market has finally picked up which was always expected but will it be sustained through March.
It had to happen a combination of a sustained fall and a feeling that the upside should be tested again, caused the market to respond more aggressively than was perhaps necessary on the back of rising oil prices and fears that Langeled the cause of much of the fall in gas prices might close if price levels remained below 20p/therm.
No one really knows what the fundamental cost for Langeled to switch off is, and although it may be 20p this year this may change next year. Arguably they must re-coup the finance costs and so if this means running at a smaller profit and paying off over a slightly longer period then so be it.
At this stage the rise was predicted and it has been seen more in the prompt than along the curve. This will spook, some into feeling that they should buy forward as we will not see these prices for a while but one suggests that a quick correction does not make a trend.
02 April 2007
The market tends to fall in April but we cannot rely solely on history. read more...
26 March 2007
The market moves up on gas supply worries which although marginal are interesting if only to see how the market reacts. read more...
05 October 2006
Some bullish stories will appear from time to time, some hedging of positions should be advised but don't feel the need to hedge it all. read more...
30 November 2005
Still too many uncertaintities that buyers accept that a small dip in price is worth buying up. The sellers are sitting on the hands whilst the buyers try and look relaxed when buying, but everyone knows that they are not. read more...
22 November 2005
Market on bull run, which does not look like stopping, players on day ahead prices, are being forced to turn off. Ineos Chlor and Tioxide cannot produce with these energy costs as high as they are. read more...
Shale Gas - Latest UK estimates suggest enough for next 11 years
Cuadrilla Resources, the company at the forefront of Britain's Shale gas exploration released its first estimates of the amount of shale gas contained in the rocks of Lancashire. At 200 trillion cubic feet, the estimates are significant to say the least. read more...
22 September 2011
Cuadrilla Resources, the company at the forefront of Britain's Shale gas exploration released its first estimates of the amount of shale gas contained in the rocks of Lancashire. At 200 trillion cubic feet, the estimates are significant to say the least. read more...
Energy Forward Prices continue to gain ground
Despite market participants describing the market as stagnant and directionless, energy forward prices continue to gain ground. Winter 11 power closed the week up at £59.65/MWh while NBP Winter 11 gas finished at 72.20p/therm. read more...
10 June 2011
Despite market participants describing the market as stagnant and directionless, energy forward prices continue to gain ground. Winter 11 power closed the week up at £59.65/MWh while NBP Winter 11 gas finished at 72.20p/therm. read more...
Downward Trend Still in Play
Most contracts in the UK energy markets continued to lose ground this week enforcing the downward trend that has been in play since the start of the month. The Winter 11 contracts closed the week at £57.60MW/h and 68.85p/therm. read more...
13 May 2011
Most contracts in the UK energy markets continued to lose ground this week enforcing the downward trend that has been in play since the start of the month. The Winter 11 contracts closed the week at £57.60MW/h and 68.85p/therm. read more...
Winter 11 - A Slippery Slope
While March was a month of shocks and gains, April seems to have marked the start of a downward trend in the UK power market. The WInter 11 contract is just one example. read more...
06 May 2011
While March was a month of shocks and gains, April seems to have marked the start of a downward trend in the UK power market. The WInter 11 contract is just one example. read more...
The Market in April 2011
In comparison to the activity seen in March – the energy markets seemed relatively sedate shedding some of the value along the way. read more...
28 April 2011
In comparison to the activity seen in March – the energy markets seemed relatively sedate shedding some of the value along the way. read more...
Monthly Review - Jan 2012
Weather, oil sanctions and European debt concerns were the pushers and pullers this month as energy markets responded to competing indicators. Volatility was the only constant. read more...
01 February 2012
Weather, oil sanctions and European debt concerns were the pushers and pullers this month as energy markets responded to competing indicators. Volatility was the only constant. read more...
Japan, Germany & MENA -Global Energy
Bullish gains were seen across the fuels complex as traders and analysts rushed to assess the impact of the devastating earthquake and subsequent Tsunami in Japan as well as Germany's announcement that it was to take 7 nuclear generators offline immediately. read more...
18 March 2011
Bullish gains were seen across the fuels complex as traders and analysts rushed to assess the impact of the devastating earthquake and subsequent Tsunami in Japan as well as Germany's announcement that it was to take 7 nuclear generators offline immediately. read more...
Power Prices Ride the Crest of the Fuel Wave
A bullish fuel market fed through into the UK Power Market today with gains of over £2/MWh seen on most of the seasonal curve contracts. read more...
26 April 2010
A bullish fuel market fed through into the UK Power Market today with gains of over £2/MWh seen on most of the seasonal curve contracts. read more...
What type of recession will it be.
Economists are trying hard to work out if this recession will be a V, W or square root type of recession. read more...
13 May 2009
Economists are trying hard to work out if this recession will be a V, W or square root type of recession. read more...
Oil eases off
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
15 April 2009
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
Imera secures new inter connector
Imera an Irish consortium has secured a good growth opportunity for 2011. read more...
07 December 2008
Imera an Irish consortium has secured a good growth opportunity for 2011. read more...
Feeling the Squeeze
Centrica will not repeat last year’s exceptional level of profitability their Chief Executive warned yesterday. But with rising energy prices it’s interesting to understand how they’re not cashing in. read more...
13 May 2008
Centrica will not repeat last year’s exceptional level of profitability their Chief Executive warned yesterday. But with rising energy prices it’s interesting to understand how they’re not cashing in. read more...
Currency fluctuations causing pain on UK gas imports
Currency moves affecting most of the commodity trading seen on European gas. Coal and oil fluctuations are often led by a change in currency. read more...
23 April 2008
Currency moves affecting most of the commodity trading seen on European gas. Coal and oil fluctuations are often led by a change in currency. read more...
Short-term worries, sorted.
Gas supply increases at the same time that two nuclear units return. Prompt price may well return below £30 and the sell off could be short and quick. Oil pries continue to worry. read more...
16 October 2007
Gas supply increases at the same time that two nuclear units return. Prompt price may well return below £30 and the sell off could be short and quick. Oil pries continue to worry. read more...
NGC raise supply forecast for Winter 07
NGC wakes up to the possibility that Langeled might flow. read more...
26 September 2007
NGC wakes up to the possibility that Langeled might flow. read more...
Oil Disruption Fears create Volatile Markets
The European Union provided details this week of its proposed ban of Iranian oil imports as the Union steps up pressure over the country's nuclear programme. read more...
20 January 2012
The European Union provided details this week of its proposed ban of Iranian oil imports as the Union steps up pressure over the country's nuclear programme. read more...
Prepare for the clash of OPEC & IEA
With less than a month to go until OPEC meets, the statements are beginning to fly: OPEC believe the oil market looks balanced while the IEA again are saying that high oil prices could harm fragile global economic growth. Let the battle begin! read more...
23 November 2011
With less than a month to go until OPEC meets, the statements are beginning to fly: OPEC believe the oil market looks balanced while the IEA again are saying that high oil prices could harm fragile global economic growth. Let the battle begin! read more...
Markets Still Jittery
Most markets reported further losses today on the back of underlying nerves about the ability of both Europe and the US to repay their debts. Oil, commodities and equities all reported losses. read more...
21 November 2011
Most markets reported further losses today on the back of underlying nerves about the ability of both Europe and the US to repay their debts. Oil, commodities and equities all reported losses. read more...
Plunging Prices Impact UK Energy market
Oil markets were described as 'plunging' as fears escalated over the Greek debt crisis. With the dollar/euro exchange rates under pressure oil lost value pulling down NBP gas and UK power prices too. read more...
17 June 2011
Oil markets were described as 'plunging' as fears escalated over the Greek debt crisis. With the dollar/euro exchange rates under pressure oil lost value pulling down NBP gas and UK power prices too. read more...
Latest Figures Show the extent of Oil Shortfall
Despite increased OPEC production, output fell short of pre-Libya crisis levels. With little sign of a resolution in Libya, oil supply remains under pressure and with OPEC yet to cover the shortfall it seems that strong oil prices are here to stay (well for a while anyway). read more...
15 April 2011
Despite increased OPEC production, output fell short of pre-Libya crisis levels. With little sign of a resolution in Libya, oil supply remains under pressure and with OPEC yet to cover the shortfall it seems that strong oil prices are here to stay (well for a while anyway). read more...
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