
27 April 2007
Power prices continue to look for some form of direction and eventually traing managers will ask whether their traders are taking enough risks.
So we know that oil is not moving because it is rangebound and fundamentals suggest that the equilibrium of buyers and suppliers is well balanced. Gas is in a similar state with no real drivers pushing the market one way or another and those who wish to trade are tending to do so on the prompt with low risk trades.
Power not surprisingly is following suit. The key question is that the many of the traders have been tasked with making trading profits. If the market moves between £33.50 and £34 in Summer then the traders will become increasingly worried that the normal lot sizes will not be making them money and so they have to increase volume in order to justify being there. This is not happening.
Furthermore, when activity is as quiet as it is players must look at all the markets and start to trade more like George Soros or Warren Buffet and look at the long term and the big plays. Fundamentally this points to more bearish activity, but in the short term the buyers are being seen. Both the power and gas markets are in contango but the question is if the sellers come out further along the curve will they push the curve back into backwardation.
The Rally Continues in Electricity
 
08 July 2011
Where June ended on a bearish note, July opened with a distinctly more bullish feel to it. By the 8th July, the Winter contracts had each gained around £1/MWh with Winter 11 trading at £57.70/MWh, Winter 12 at £59.60/MWh and Winter 13 at £63.45/MWh.  
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Energy Curves regain some of the Losses
 
01 July 2011
The energy markets have recovered from the 'plunging losses' seen earlier in June which dragged down fuel and power prices. Prices across the power curve all report strong week on week gains.  
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Prompt Prices at a Premium to Winter..
 
01 October 2010
The focus this week has been on the prompt markets with system constraints and gas uncertainty the main cause. Together the constraints and uncertainty have had an interesting impact on the shape of the power forward curve.  
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Gains Seen Across the Curve
 
21 December 2009
There was no sign of an early Christmas in the power market on Friday with a 'flurry' of trading resulting in gains across the power curve.  
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Summers Lack Shape
 
27 October 2008
Oil price volatility, credit constraints and the Lehman collapse has all badly affected liquidity further out on the gas curve.  
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Q4 v Q1 Future (Gas)
 
04 February 2008
Spreads sometimes show how markets can change, and this gas spread is an interesting one to analyse.  
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Energy Forward Prices continue to gain ground
 
10 June 2011
Despite market participants describing the market as stagnant and directionless, energy forward prices continue to gain ground. Winter 11 power closed the week up at £59.65/MWh while NBP Winter 11 gas finished at 72.20p/therm.  
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The Market in April 2011
 
28 April 2011
In comparison to the activity seen in March – the energy markets seemed relatively sedate shedding some of the value along the way.  
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Carbon Floor Price Announcement: The Market Reacts
 
25 March 2011
The tensions seen in the markets last week, as participants assessed the impact of Japan and nuclear withdrawal in Germany, appeared to have eased when the market started trading on Monday. The Government's mid week budget Carbon Floor Price announcement soon changes that though  
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Crude Oil Breaks Through $110bbl
 
04 March 2011
Unfolding news in the Middle East continued to dominate the UK energy markets this week. When crude oil prices broke through $100bbl at the start of the month, the impact was noticeable on UK gas prices and Power prices in turn. Winter 11 power and gas closed the week at £55.75/MWh and 67p/therm respectively.  
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New White Paper highlights need for Energy Risk Management
 
11 November 2010
Yesterday, npower launched its new white paper, commissioned from the London School of Economics on Energy Risk Management for UK business. The paper comes on the back of research that suggests that UK businesses now feel that energy presents a higher level of risk to their business than health and safety and security issues. But what should businesses be doing to manage the risks?  
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