Raw Facts

20 September 2006

Market still looks high even though it has fallen.

  • The peak of the year in 2005 was on 29 November 2005 (Efa Month Dec)

      20/09/2005 Diff 20/09/2006 Diff
    Fwd Oct  £         37.20    £         36.70  
    Fwd Nov  £         44.10  £   6.90  £         49.50  £ 12.80
    Fwd Dec  £         53.25  £   9.15  £         58.75  £  9.25

    • Emissions prices between for 2005 were higher than where they are today.
    • All prices rose significantly after outages and European gas shenanigans in November 2005.

    In short the market looks to have more to go in terms of bearish sentiment.


    Forward Curve 

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