Polish Emissions certificates

04 September 2006

Polish authorities hint at withdrawing the polish length by reducing the amount installations can sell. This is posturing that is unlikely to stand but in the mean time it could cause the market to rise.  

The poles who are the most long of phase 1 emissions credits, are looking at limiting the length trhat comes to the market. This will have an effect on the end price of EUA's but the effect appears to be slow to come to the market. This could be that an appeal by the EU is likely to be made as this would be the equivalent of an ex-post adjustment something which is a breaking criteria three of the EU diretive on national allocation plans.

The poles would not be on their own with the Germans and French also attempting to make ex-post adjustments. One suspects that this is one of those trader stories which is a rumour, but when we know more will materialise to be worth nothing. However, if it is true and the scope of the reduction of the polish length is significant then this is the first bullish pressure that we have seen on the market for some weeks.


Carbon  EU  Bull Market 

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