
29 September 2006
Oil price rise on Opec fears but is it a short lived tradery rumour.... probably because it fits the pyschological and technical processes of all markets.
A Dead Cat bounce is a trading term derived from the theory that if you drop something from high enough it will bounce. Traders often talk of dead cat bounces after a sustained bear market at some point the market fall has to stop and buyers and traders shore up prices as they attempt to get back into the market snaffling at prices too good to be true. Often this fall is for no other reason than sentiment that levels are too good.
Yesterday we saw a small rise in prices mainly on the back of a small increase in oil prices. This has been caused by rumours of an decrease in Opec production. In reality Opec does not officially meet until December and many of them need to sustain production for cashflow. In fact only Saudi Arabia can afford to shore up prices, and their hold on the cartel is significant but the hold that the cartel has on world oil prices is decreasing. Venezuala a huge oil exporting country has a new president who has leveraged many foreign policy ideas on the back of their oil price, they need the cash and for oil to flow, but world demand is declining and this will put further bearish pressure on oil. Many commentators suggest that we could be returning to the $50 mark again and hence the reason why this recent rise might well be a dead cat bounce.
Weather Forecasts and Iranian Threats
 
27 January 2012
Forecast and outturn cold weather drove gas and coal prices this week which in turn had an impact on the power curve. Iran threatened to cut off crude supplies ahead of the EU's proposed July sanctions; a move that would impact EU nations as they seek to find alternative sources ahead of the import ban.  
read more...
The downward trend comes to an end
 
22 July 2011
The Power market was finally knocked of its downward slide on 19th July with oil and gas prices helping to break the trend. Oil received a boost from lower than expected stock levels (again) and hopes that a US debt deal could be reached. While a Eurozone Emergency Summit was held to rescue the Euro and throw a further lifeline to Greece.  
read more...
Energy Curves regain some of the Losses
 
01 July 2011
The energy markets have recovered from the 'plunging losses' seen earlier in June which dragged down fuel and power prices. Prices across the power curve all report strong week on week gains.  
read more...
Warm weather weighs heavy on prices
 
06 January 2012
Unseasonably warm weather and European debt crisis fears continued to influence the markets at the start of 2012. While oil did open the year up on the back of strong economic data from both the US and China, it retraced its steps on surprise US stockpile data combined with the Euro debt fears.  
read more...
November 2011 Review
 
02 December 2011
While debt repayment concerns combined with woeful economic indicators continued to be a feature throughout November, supply and demand fundamentals were an obvious driver too. Unseasonably warm weather combined with (and causing) plentiful gas storage meant that UK power and gas markets went into a nose dive.  
read more...
Plunging Prices Impact UK Energy market
 
17 June 2011
Oil markets were described as 'plunging' as fears escalated over the Greek debt crisis. With the dollar/euro exchange rates under pressure oil lost value pulling down NBP gas and UK power prices too.  
read more...
Downward Trend Still in Play
 
13 May 2011
Most contracts in the UK energy markets continued to lose ground this week enforcing the downward trend that has been in play since the start of the month. The Winter 11 contracts closed the week at £57.60MW/h and 68.85p/therm.  
read more...
A Market Correction?
 
08 April 2011
Losses were seen in the UK energy markets this week despite oil gains. This was the first sign that gas was decoupling from oil with suggestions in market implying that the recent gains had been ‘over done.  
read more...
Prepare for the clash of OPEC & IEA
 
23 November 2011
With less than a month to go until OPEC meets, the statements are beginning to fly: OPEC believe the oil market looks balanced while the IEA again are saying that high oil prices could harm fragile global economic growth. Let the battle begin!  
read more...
Markets Still Jittery
 
21 November 2011
Most markets reported further losses today on the back of underlying nerves about the ability of both Europe and the US to repay their debts. Oil, commodities and equities all reported losses.  
read more...
Plunging Prices Impact UK Energy market
 
17 June 2011
Oil markets were described as 'plunging' as fears escalated over the Greek debt crisis. With the dollar/euro exchange rates under pressure oil lost value pulling down NBP gas and UK power prices too.  
read more...
Latest Figures Show the extent of Oil Shortfall
 
15 April 2011
Despite increased OPEC production, output fell short of pre-Libya crisis levels.
With little sign of a resolution in Libya, oil supply remains under pressure and with OPEC yet to cover the shortfall it seems that strong oil prices are here to stay (well for a while anyway).
 
read more...