The weather for this weekend and next week is likely to be pretty mild in fact in London it will average 16 degrees a couple of degrees above normal, and rivalling the warmest October on record (this happened last year!). But be warned, the electricity market does not react well to shocks, and although the clock change and a feeling that Winter is coming the suggestion is that when it does come, the change from mild October to normal chilly November will effect the market more than normal.

Plant which has been lying idly waiting for the first frost will be cranked up and often it does not work on its first outing. Consumers will be clammering to switch on radiators and start to heat the country! So a rapid pick up in demand and slow response from supply will see a slight increase in price.

In reality the market has expected this and in fact this is why prices for October have been as low as they have. January still looks high at £53 if you look at where the day ahead is now, but perhaps there is potential for a small upside move, when Mr Jack Frost returns from a hibernating summer.