Oil and nuclears are still the key price drivers, it almost appears that the market is waiting for a cold snap or a warm announcement to get their next key price driver.
It is probably beginning to get boring but you could summarise yesterdays trading as:
Oil down which equals gas down. The oil move was small but was due to profit taking.
Coal stable. Electricity marginally up on the back of assessing British Energy's statement. Emissions steady.
What is clear is that anything beyond March 07 has not moved due to British Energy. The market believes that the cracking problem is fixable and fixable within the short term. If they are right then BE will want to generate alot through the Summer and of course will not need to take outages either. This is a dangerous assumption, BE would prefer to generate at half load during the Winter than no load and then take the outage during the Summer when prices will be at their lowest. Although they will be doing nuke spread calculations in reality the power price is the key determinant and that means that they will still be playing games.
The power market knows it and so does the city their shares rose 6% yesterday and 3% this morning. A classic case of being oversold.
12 April 2006
Drax and Centrica do deal which on the face of it looks like a perfect hedge for Drax, but Centrica benefit from not being short power in a potentially high power market. read more...
29 September 2005
Nuclear annoucement drives prompt prices higher on unplanned outages at Heysham and Hartlepool. read more...
29 July 2005
Power markets in an interesting phase, with prompt down and long dated power becoming cheaper. 2006 could be the high year. read more...
14 April 2005
British Energy change their board but not the fundamental reason as to why they need to change. read more...
28 January 2005
French auditors question decomissioning costs read more...
Winter 11 - A Slippery Slope
While March was a month of shocks and gains, April seems to have marked the start of a downward trend in the UK power market. The WInter 11 contract is just one example. read more...
06 May 2011
While March was a month of shocks and gains, April seems to have marked the start of a downward trend in the UK power market. The WInter 11 contract is just one example. read more...
Japan, Germany & MENA -Global Energy
Bullish gains were seen across the fuels complex as traders and analysts rushed to assess the impact of the devastating earthquake and subsequent Tsunami in Japan as well as Germany's announcement that it was to take 7 nuclear generators offline immediately. read more...
18 March 2011
Bullish gains were seen across the fuels complex as traders and analysts rushed to assess the impact of the devastating earthquake and subsequent Tsunami in Japan as well as Germany's announcement that it was to take 7 nuclear generators offline immediately. read more...
EdF to pay £12.5 billion for British Energy
EDF has struck a £12.5billion deal to take over British Energy, the British nuclear generator. read more...
24 September 2008
EDF has struck a £12.5billion deal to take over British Energy, the British nuclear generator. read more...
Centrica and BE - A Natural Fit?
Invesco – the investment company that owns 15% of British Energy and 5% of Centrica has discussed with the Government the possibility of a merger between the two energy companies. read more...
27 August 2008
Invesco – the investment company that owns 15% of British Energy and 5% of Centrica has discussed with the Government the possibility of a merger between the two energy companies. read more...
British Energy forecast to be back in Dec
Market expects to see nukes return in Decemeber. read more...
11 August 2008
Market expects to see nukes return in Decemeber. read more...
What's in the Mix?
While gains may have been seen in both the power and gas markets this week – the gains were not equal causing a big shift in the generation mix read more...
24 September 2010
While gains may have been seen in both the power and gas markets this week – the gains were not equal causing a big shift in the generation mix read more...
Out with the Old, In with the New
During the last day of trading in 2009, the UK Power curve closes down but what will the New Year hold in store? read more...
31 December 2009
During the last day of trading in 2009, the UK Power curve closes down but what will the New Year hold in store? read more...
Unseasonal Temperatures help to melt prices
Middle of November but no sign of wintery temperatures. The effect was to soften the prompt power market, which also felt the pressure from weak commodity curves. The downward trend fed through the power curve. read more...
16 November 2009
Middle of November but no sign of wintery temperatures. The effect was to soften the prompt power market, which also felt the pressure from weak commodity curves. The downward trend fed through the power curve. read more...
Market forgets basic principles and panics!
It could be said that the market over reacted today in the prompt market with a price rally on the back of a £142 half hourly cash out price. read more...
02 October 2009
It could be said that the market over reacted today in the prompt market with a price rally on the back of a £142 half hourly cash out price. read more...
What's Happening in the Back-End?
The back end of the curve is extremely difficult to trade. Those dipping their toe in tend to be Producers (with excessive length adjusting their risk positions) and Banks looking for some exposure. At the same time Retailers tend to be short-termist. read more...
19 June 2009
The back end of the curve is extremely difficult to trade. Those dipping their toe in tend to be Producers (with excessive length adjusting their risk positions) and Banks looking for some exposure. At the same time Retailers tend to be short-termist. read more...
Oil Disruption Fears create Volatile Markets
The European Union provided details this week of its proposed ban of Iranian oil imports as the Union steps up pressure over the country's nuclear programme. read more...
20 January 2012
The European Union provided details this week of its proposed ban of Iranian oil imports as the Union steps up pressure over the country's nuclear programme. read more...
Prepare for the clash of OPEC & IEA
With less than a month to go until OPEC meets, the statements are beginning to fly: OPEC believe the oil market looks balanced while the IEA again are saying that high oil prices could harm fragile global economic growth. Let the battle begin! read more...
23 November 2011
With less than a month to go until OPEC meets, the statements are beginning to fly: OPEC believe the oil market looks balanced while the IEA again are saying that high oil prices could harm fragile global economic growth. Let the battle begin! read more...
Markets Still Jittery
Most markets reported further losses today on the back of underlying nerves about the ability of both Europe and the US to repay their debts. Oil, commodities and equities all reported losses. read more...
21 November 2011
Most markets reported further losses today on the back of underlying nerves about the ability of both Europe and the US to repay their debts. Oil, commodities and equities all reported losses. read more...
Plunging Prices Impact UK Energy market
Oil markets were described as 'plunging' as fears escalated over the Greek debt crisis. With the dollar/euro exchange rates under pressure oil lost value pulling down NBP gas and UK power prices too. read more...
17 June 2011
Oil markets were described as 'plunging' as fears escalated over the Greek debt crisis. With the dollar/euro exchange rates under pressure oil lost value pulling down NBP gas and UK power prices too. read more...
Latest Figures Show the extent of Oil Shortfall
Despite increased OPEC production, output fell short of pre-Libya crisis levels. With little sign of a resolution in Libya, oil supply remains under pressure and with OPEC yet to cover the shortfall it seems that strong oil prices are here to stay (well for a while anyway). read more...
15 April 2011
Despite increased OPEC production, output fell short of pre-Libya crisis levels. With little sign of a resolution in Libya, oil supply remains under pressure and with OPEC yet to cover the shortfall it seems that strong oil prices are here to stay (well for a while anyway). read more...
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