
22 May 2006
Lacklustre markets cause some players to reassess positions, safe in the knowledge that June will be a low liquidity month due to World Cup fever.
The market has been responding to some interesting fundamentals with the relaease of emissions data. The emissions market is a market in regulatory risk, and players feel that this regulatory risk is now beginning to creep back into the power and gas markets. In reality this means that there is less liquidity in the markets and players start to lose interest.
Brokers will not be happy about this because a lack of liquidity will show trading voluems down and also with the Football World Cup next month, traders will be less interested on power and more interested on the state of the nations metatarsals.
Ironically, this often means that in well established markets the bulls or bears can start to bully a market pushing it the way they want as liquidity and volume declines. There is a suggestion that many of the hedge funds have down this recently in emissions and by covering the shorts they had they have pushed the market the other way. One at this stage has to wait for the next key fundamental driver and this might well be a rise in gas prices as Rough opens.
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TECHNICALS vs FUNDAMENTALS
 
23 June 2006
The emissions market has recently been extolling the virtues of technical trading. But this is a market that is still fairly new, whereas technical analysis is associated with well established markets. So why do traders insist that technicals can work for them in this market?  
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CRC- What Price?
 
03 February 2012
In November it was reported that traders in the UK energy markets were beginning to place bets that the Government will not go ahead with its controversial Carbon Floor Price. The Carbon Floor Price has relevance to the CRC, not least because some commentators have suggested that the fixed price levels could track the known Carbon Floor Price. Current EUA prices also seem vastly at odds to the proposed CRC price. British business is lobbying hard for a level and competitive playing field.  
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Carbon Floor Price Announcement: The Market Reacts
 
25 March 2011
The tensions seen in the markets last week, as participants assessed the impact of Japan and nuclear withdrawal in Germany, appeared to have eased when the market started trading on Monday. The Government's mid week budget Carbon Floor Price announcement soon changes that though  
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Japan, Germany & MENA -Global Energy
 
18 March 2011
Bullish gains were seen across the fuels complex as traders and analysts rushed to assess the impact of the devastating earthquake and subsequent Tsunami in Japan as well as Germany's announcement that it was to take 7 nuclear generators offline immediately.  
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Capacity Payments Discussed as a Tool to encourage Investment
 
30 June 2010
In a week when the engineering industry, in its State of the Nation report, said that the Energy Industry gave the most cause for concern in light of security of supply, Energy Minister Charles Hendry spoke of 'Capacity Payments' as a tool to incentivise plant development.  
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Two Years On...
 
17 September 2010
This week marked the 2nd Anniversary of the collapse of Lehman Brothers, perhaps the most significant collapse of the banking crisis. Ironic perhaps then that the anniversary coincided with the publication of stricter international banking rules requiring banks to hold larger cash reserves. How will these banking regulations impact energy companies?  
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Falling Wholesale Prices but what about the tariffs?
 
18 September 2009
Even though the power wholesale market is following the falls seen in gas (Winter 09 Baseload closed the week down £0.20MWh at £38.70), and is now at levels where supplier tariffs must be under pressure, any tariff reduction announcements are unlikely to be made anytime soon.  
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