A market which suggest unsureness

22 May 2006

Lacklustre markets cause some players to reassess positions, safe in the knowledge that June will be a low liquidity month due to World Cup fever.

The market has been responding to some interesting fundamentals with the relaease of emissions data. The emissions market is a market in regulatory risk, and players feel that this regulatory risk is now beginning to creep back into the power and gas markets. In reality this means that there is less liquidity in the markets and players start to lose interest.

Brokers will not be happy about this because a lack of liquidity will show trading voluems down and also with the Football World Cup next month, traders will be less interested on power and more interested on the state of the nations metatarsals.

Ironically, this often means that in well established markets the bulls or bears can start to bully a market pushing it the way they want as liquidity and volume declines. There is a suggestion that many of the hedge funds have down this recently in emissions and by covering the shorts they had they have pushed the market the other way. One at this stage has to wait for the next key fundamental driver and this might well be a rise in gas prices as Rough opens.


Carbon  Regulation 

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