
25 January 2006
Powerisk stated some time ago that March traditionally gets over bid on the back of cold weather and spark spread data. Rarely does it last and this was predicted by Powerisk in does the spark ever breakdown.
March has now dropped nearly £10 in two days, despite the coldest night in London since 1996. Perhaps it is clear that when it is the coldest night in London for nearly a decade and prompt prices are trading at a couple of pounds premium to March that the product is over bid. Players have also taken their lead from gas which has declined and this has pushed power with it. Perhaps the key question is if March has fallen too much. In reality, the new level of £51.50 is more in line with Summer prices, but these in turn have remained robustly high. One would suggest that there are further opportunities for drops assuming that fundamentals remain steady. This could have a further effect on the curve which has recently been increasing on oil and emissions fear. See March graph.
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Prompt Focus
 
17 February 2005
Prompt up- better to be long and wrong, than short and caught.  
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Confidence Returns to Market
 
20 December 2010
Despite a continuation of cold conditions, confidence was seen returning to the market with a stabilisation of spot prices and comfortable system margins. There was some focus on the curve with seasonal contracts all reporting some gain on the previous weeks levels apart form Summer 13.  
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Weather continues to dominate
 
10 December 2010
Tight margin concerns resulted in Spot prices reaching highs for nearly two years. The cold weather conditions were the driving force though supply issues compounded the situation.  
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Cold snap results in single highest gain since Jul-09
 
08 November 2010
Prompt contracts responded to the expected cold spell forecast for this week with the Day Ahead contract (Baseload contract for Monday delivery) on Friday gaining £2.65/MWh – the single highest gain seen since July on this contract. This bullish sentiment did not feed through to the rest of the curve though.  
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Gains Seen Across the Curve
 
21 December 2009
There was no sign of an early Christmas in the power market on Friday with a 'flurry' of trading resulting in gains across the power curve.  
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Monthly Review - Jan 2012
 
01 February 2012
Weather, oil sanctions and European debt concerns were the pushers and pullers this month as energy markets responded to competing indicators. Volatility was the only constant.  
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Weather Forecasts and Iranian Threats
 
27 January 2012
Forecast and outturn cold weather drove gas and coal prices this week which in turn had an impact on the power curve. Iran threatened to cut off crude supplies ahead of the EU's proposed July sanctions; a move that would impact EU nations as they seek to find alternative sources ahead of the import ban.  
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Warm weather weighs heavy on prices
 
06 January 2012
Unseasonably warm weather and European debt crisis fears continued to influence the markets at the start of 2012. While oil did open the year up on the back of strong economic data from both the US and China, it retraced its steps on surprise US stockpile data combined with the Euro debt fears.  
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The Market in April 2011
 
28 April 2011
In comparison to the activity seen in March – the energy markets seemed relatively sedate shedding some of the value along the way.  
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Confidence Returns to Market
 
20 December 2010
Despite a continuation of cold conditions, confidence was seen returning to the market with a stabilisation of spot prices and comfortable system margins. There was some focus on the curve with seasonal contracts all reporting some gain on the previous weeks levels apart form Summer 13.  
read more...