Volumes up in the OTC market

02 February 2006

Volumes up on December but down on the year and this does not bode well for the future if the drop continues.

The amount of power traded in the UK market has increased substantially with a near to doubling in comparison to December. One would always expect this increase in trading between the two months, with traders often closing out in December and partying rather than trading. January the start of a new year will see players often try and establish large positions early on.

Interestingly volumes in January in comparison to last years January are down 15% and half the volumes of those traded in 2003. This only goes to show that the big six vertically integrated players are just not flowing volume through the market as much as they used to. This further increases liquidity risk, and suggests that some long dated prices for marking the curve, will be easily manipulatable. If volumes fall much further this year then small suppliers and large users will opt to go back to long term bi-lateral contracts. The growth of flexible contracts is encouraging, but this volume has to be seen to go back into the market.


Industry 

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