Emissions market set for change

01 February 2006



Creating markets is not that easy, and government plans for a mini-emissions market have all the hallmarks of political platitudes. Perhaps though the Americans and the UK are planning something which they cannot tell us, until more detail comes forth.

Government reports suggest that they wish to create an emissions market for small users who do not qualify for the National Allocation Plan under Kyoto. The government state that it is only the big players who seem to have to make emissions cuts and that the smaller players gain a competitive advantage. Most of this makes sense and from a politicians point of view is something which inspires the country to think that they know what they are talking about. However, markets do not work in isolation, and if a separate market is created where cuts have to be made, this will disadvantage small business globally. The age old argument with emissions markets are that the financing has to come from all and not the few, this argument is used by the US and it seems to work.

The smaller scheme might be in conjunction with a potentially new scheme coming out from the US. The Asia Pacific partnership seems to be slow of the mark, but Bush's comments on oil addiction and the fact that they are looking to develop new technology suggest that they have not given up on climate change. The reality is that if the US create something outside of Kyoto, Britain would do well to have a hand in both Kyoto and the APP.

read more ...

Volumes up in the OTC market  

02 February 2006


Volumes up on December but down on the year and this does not bode well for the future if the drop continues.  read more...

How cold has the winter been?  

03 February 2006


Europe has been much colder than the UK and this has meant European gas and power prices are setting new highs, this only shows that the system works, but it does make the market more jittery to foreign fundamentals.  read more...

Options Markets for Large Customer  

06 February 2006


Options may look attractive, but it might be worth looking in detail at all the costs associated with entering into this kind of insurance premium.  read more...

5th Small supplier goes bust and blames the lack of upstream assets  

07 February 2006


Zest 4 folds to join illustrious list, and they have no one to blame but themselves. Good risk management applies to all companies whatever size you are.  read more...

Market slides on the back of bearish sentiment  

08 February 2006


Bears are back and with a distinct amount of confidence as the whole market fell off by almost a pound across the curve.  read more...

A time for reflection- Weather or not it outturned.  

09 February 2006


Could it be a lack of water which is causing some bullish elements to return to the Summer, possibly but it is not a major fundamental and the bears will win through.  read more...

Scottish Power increase prices to domestic players.  

10 February 2006


Retail customers now have to look at fixed versus variable in the same way as their mortgage, and buying a mortgage is normally painful, and so inadvertently by making the market more complex the suppliers reduce churn.  read more...

Long Term trading decisions  

13 February 2006


Long dated trading decisions lose focus as players concentrate on the prompt and settling Summer 06.  read more...

The February melt begins.  

14 February 2006


February History has shown that if ever the bears are at their most aggressive then it is now. Fundamentals also suggest that this year looks likely to be less volatile than last year. The very nature, of traders developing experience and not being panicking into trading lowers volatility.  read more...

A pause for thought  

15 February 2006


The market declines seen in the previous part of week, paused momentarily yesterday, but fundamentals suggest that these levels are here to stay for a while.  read more...

Than' Q4 the drop.  

16 February 2006


Q4 '06 has hit historic lows and the market has a general bearish feel to it with the system awash with gas and oil prices falling steadily. Perhaps for the shorts now may not be a bad time to hedge some volume in the market.  read more...

Nellie Kroes goes for jugular as the North Sea gets Rough  

17 February 2006


Commissioner shows teeth and the big players will be aware that they are in for a rough ride in the next couple of months. Overall this will put bearish pressure on prices.  read more...

May 15th Emissions day  

20 February 2006


Emissions day will have a big impact on gas and power markets. Players will be jostling to see if the UBS hype of the EU system not being as short as players suggest may well prove to be damp squib. If the market is doing its job, the system is seriously short and hence the reason emissions prices are at €26.8.  read more...

Rough out for March  

21 February 2006


Rough looks to be out for a month, and March rises, and April falls as people bank on a return towards the end of March. The effect on the curve is a ripple of bearishness in Summer 06 and a rise in Winter 06 from the oil rise.  read more...

Nellie the elephant packed her trunk and said goodbye to the circus!  

22 February 2006


The power game has just moved into a new phase, with E.ON potentially creating an even bigger leviathan, expect RWE, Gazprom, and EdF to follow.  read more...

March 06 v April 06  

23 February 2006


March and April as individual months are difficult to trade on a time spread but fundamental information is helping point in certain directions which help the decision.  read more...

Unsubtle profits, will draw out bears.  

24 February 2006


Huge profits seen across the sector with Centrica EdF and RWE posting record numbers, is it good for the long term?  read more...

Does shape matter?  

27 February 2006


Under the NETA rules the market would always favour those who are flexible and able to adapt. As stability in market prices is becoming more normal, this allows players to assess the market even start to think about creating flexibility within their own shape.  read more...

Do suppliers ever reduce prices?  

28 February 2006


It started with a duopoly we then got competition which led to consoilidation and now we are at oligopoly. For now that may not be a bad thing for the domestic customer. But for the regulators it might be time to look at a shake up.  read more...


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