Bearish Sentiment changes fuel fundamentals

14 August 2006

The market is reatcing well to the recent oil price rises with a view that margins are helathy enough as it is and that trading can be a way of moving the market rather than just looking at raw fundamental demand and supply.

Oil prices, interest rates and a world feeling that inflation is on the rise, have caused many to wonder whether the UK is heading towards an oil led recession. There is no doubt that the run of economic fortune is phenomenal and perhaps with a lack of tinkering and some careflu goevrnment cutbacks recession can be avoided. What one cannot get away from is that the recent rises in prices in the wholesale market have and will continue to be levied upon the end consumer for some time to come. This it could be argued is the lag before the recession kicks in. Encouragingly the wholesale market has reacted far quicker than many had anticipated and this has meant a fall in prices across the curve despite the high oil and gas prices. Many players are arguing that the margins that are being seen in the power market are healthy enough and as volatility settles down, the art of trading as opposed to covering your position is what many see as the pervading course in the market. As a result prices have delined as teh fule fundamentals have broken down marginally.


UK Government  Bear Market  Oil 

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