Europe in the dock

03 April 2006



EU cites 107 cases of which 50 are likely to end up in court perhaps this may persuade some the utilities to think more carefully about screwing the little guy.

The EU Commision as predicted is going to bring 107 charges on utilities companies in the EU. Of the 107 charges it is expected that 50 of them will go to court. Spain and France have been cited as the main breachers of competition law, but many have had their fingers wrapped.

It is likely that more details on the offences will come out in due course. The perverse thing is that this has had no effect on prices, which have robustly stayed high, one suspects that this is partly as a result of high oil prices. But the market should at the very least out of courtesy do something about the situation and react in someway.

It is hoped that these sorts of court cases will push the large utilities to a point where they are able to move players into actually doing something, liberalising realising that their monopolies will not be allowed, and that keeping the juicy competitive bits would be more worthwhile. It is sadly someway away.

read more ...

Pressures somewhat contradictory  

05 April 2006


Winter 06 not sure which tune to dance to the Sparkers or the fundamentalists.  read more...

Power Trade Forum talks the talk  

07 April 2006


Power trade forum definitely is heading in the right direction but perhaps some of the large customers are not truly reflecting the will of the players in the whole market. Time will tell.  read more...

Interconnected- Conference Results.  

10 April 2006


Although complaining is satisfying it often does not solve the problem. As the customers who buy gas congregate to discuss the farce of last winters gas market, the solutions only pay lip service to the problem.  read more...

Taking and Giving  

11 April 2006


Trading is an art, and not a science although maths and quants dominate the market eventually it comes down to where will you really do the business, and at that point sometimes a bit of coaxing from the seller or buyer can save some serious ticks.  read more...

Drax structure the perfect deal with Centrica  

12 April 2006


Drax and Centrica do deal which on the face of it looks like a perfect hedge for Drax, but Centrica benefit from not being short power in a potentially high power market.  read more...

Bulls respond to cold snap with a vengeance.  

13 April 2006


The market has repsonded to a lack of supply and a cold snap driven demand increase with a significant price rise across the curve. It is hoped that when the snow melts so will the price but it traditionally takes longer for the back end to fall.  read more...

CO2 prices rise, but something has changed.  

13 April 2006


Carbon having little or no effect on the gas and power markets but perhaps eventually players will have to realise that as carbon is in effect a pass through, the wholesale price should reflect the growth in these fundamental costs.  read more...

Oil supplies look not to have upset the power market.  

18 April 2006


Oil talk dominates the news with record highs, but the power market does not seem to reacting too much, gas already well bid is being careful about further rises.  read more...

VaR, Volatility and confidence  

19 April 2006


As market become more ordered and stable VaR limits widen to allow traders to take more risk, this is fine as many models model history. In financial markets the biggest vol shift was 9/11 and in a few months this event will no longer be modelled in the financial markets an so risk limits will widen.  read more...

Gazprom rattles its sabre  

20 April 2006


The Gazprom debacle is going to rage on the UK government is performing more and more like a chinese protection racket, however the Russians are behaving more like the mafia with threats of cutting of supply.  read more...

VaR and commodities and Fundametals  

21 April 2006


Metals markets go mad, nice to see that it isn't just the gas and power markets which respond to fundamentals.  read more...

Oil worries continue to spook.  

24 April 2006


Oil prices are supposedly spooking markets, power and gas have remained oblivious to it. But if Rough storage is slow to comeback on cue with American oil demand increasing then expect big price rises in Q3 06.  read more...

Mr and Mrs Transatlantic Crossing and their dog Rough.  

25 April 2006


Rough annoucement drives prices in the back end of the curve North. Causing some players to rush to get their bullish tendencies out of the cupboard.  read more...

A market of contradictions.  

26 April 2006


Emissions the play of the day as a €3 fall or 10% has caused the bears to re-look at the backend of the curve and see whether to take profits. In Europe this has happened but in the Uk the Rough issue is clouding decisions.  read more...

Emissions Collapse  

27 April 2006


Emissions markets in freefall as more leaked annoucements on compliance suggest that the market has been hoodwinked into overpaying for some time.  read more...


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