The Market responds to fundamentals

06 September 2005

Fundamentals push curve down with only Carbon bucking the trend.

The market rose significantly in day ahead, as players realised that there was a slight within day shortage of supply. The back end of the curve had fell, on a slight decrease in gas and oil prices, this was tempered by carbon increases. With only four weeks left of Winter 05 trading, traders will be firmly looking at Summer 06 as the prompt liquid season trading. Recent rises have seen Summer 06 rise to new highs of nearly £50/MWh and with Winter 05 dropping ever closer to this magical figure. Many traders are looking at the "time spread" and suggesting that they need to be brought into line with each other. Furthermore Winter 06 has been heavily bid and this has caused the Summer 06 to rise with it. Traders are now questioning whether the Summer 06 is prompt led or curve led.


Supply  Bull Market  Forward Curve  Prompt 

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