
21 September 2005
Prompt slips but the curve resists the fall and looks high in comparison. Summer 06 is trading at the same level as November 05.
Day ahead, October November and December all fell. In fact Winter 05 fell to nearly £50 this is the lowest it has been for three months, and it was predicted by Powerisk sometime ago. As the contract is in its last week and half of trading the players are aware that in order to manage their longs they need to either sell the whole contract or break it up into its constituent months. October has fallen £4 this week (10%) as a result of huge selling pressure from prompt prices. In fact it still looks overly high if £32 in the day ahead becomes the norm then the back weeks of October must trade at over £45 to reach Octobers trading number of £38 today. This in turn is putting pressure on the other months which are seeing growing differentials, between months. It is almost incomprehensible that the market values November 05 at the same level as Summer 06, this shows the price of uncertainty for next year as opposed to the relatively safe and predictable November. The real question is has the market priced in a mild November something which has happened over the last three years. If so then expect the Summer to remain at £43.00 if not then watch it fall.
Warm weather weighs heavy on prices
 
06 January 2012
Unseasonably warm weather and European debt crisis fears continued to influence the markets at the start of 2012. While oil did open the year up on the back of strong economic data from both the US and China, it retraced its steps on surprise US stockpile data combined with the Euro debt fears.  
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November 2011 Review
 
02 December 2011
While debt repayment concerns combined with woeful economic indicators continued to be a feature throughout November, supply and demand fundamentals were an obvious driver too. Unseasonably warm weather combined with (and causing) plentiful gas storage meant that UK power and gas markets went into a nose dive.  
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Plunging Prices Impact UK Energy market
 
17 June 2011
Oil markets were described as 'plunging' as fears escalated over the Greek debt crisis. With the dollar/euro exchange rates under pressure oil lost value pulling down NBP gas and UK power prices too.  
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Downward Trend Still in Play
 
13 May 2011
Most contracts in the UK energy markets continued to lose ground this week enforcing the downward trend that has been in play since the start of the month. The Winter 11 contracts closed the week at £57.60MW/h and 68.85p/therm.  
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A Market Correction?
 
08 April 2011
Losses were seen in the UK energy markets this week despite oil gains. This was the first sign that gas was decoupling from oil with suggestions in market implying that the recent gains had been ‘over done.  
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