NISM is a cry for help from NGC, the effect on the market is always a reactionary buy, better to be long when there is a shortage of supply.
A NISM (Notice of insufficient supply margin) called on Wednesday not surprisingly spooked the market. The most worrying aspect of this is that October has been mild and although a clock change at the end of the month will effect light up patterns, a NISM in these circumstances is surprising. The market seeing the result added £4 to Q1 and rose substantially across the front months. This in turn pulled up the backend of the curve. Perhaps a worrying time for the market, but if players can get their houses in order and be prepared not too panic then the market should easily be able to cope.
The gas market also reacted to the NISM, and those nervy players responded in the way that most expected, a reactionary buy to the rumour of problems.
23 September 2005
Market looks to be returning to an element of normalcy with serious calendar spread trading developing. read more...
17 February 2005
Prompt up- better to be long and wrong, than short and caught. read more...
25 January 2005
Winter 05 continues its bull run, hitting a two month high of £37.10. read more...
What's in the Mix?
While gains may have been seen in both the power and gas markets this week – the gains were not equal causing a big shift in the generation mix read more...
24 September 2010
While gains may have been seen in both the power and gas markets this week – the gains were not equal causing a big shift in the generation mix read more...
Out with the Old, In with the New
During the last day of trading in 2009, the UK Power curve closes down but what will the New Year hold in store? read more...
31 December 2009
During the last day of trading in 2009, the UK Power curve closes down but what will the New Year hold in store? read more...
Unseasonal Temperatures help to melt prices
Middle of November but no sign of wintery temperatures. The effect was to soften the prompt power market, which also felt the pressure from weak commodity curves. The downward trend fed through the power curve. read more...
16 November 2009
Middle of November but no sign of wintery temperatures. The effect was to soften the prompt power market, which also felt the pressure from weak commodity curves. The downward trend fed through the power curve. read more...
Market forgets basic principles and panics!
It could be said that the market over reacted today in the prompt market with a price rally on the back of a £142 half hourly cash out price. read more...
02 October 2009
It could be said that the market over reacted today in the prompt market with a price rally on the back of a £142 half hourly cash out price. read more...
What's Happening in the Back-End?
The back end of the curve is extremely difficult to trade. Those dipping their toe in tend to be Producers (with excessive length adjusting their risk positions) and Banks looking for some exposure. At the same time Retailers tend to be short-termist. read more...
19 June 2009
The back end of the curve is extremely difficult to trade. Those dipping their toe in tend to be Producers (with excessive length adjusting their risk positions) and Banks looking for some exposure. At the same time Retailers tend to be short-termist. read more...
Unplanned Outages Cause Powercuts
Power cuts seen across the UK following an unplanned outage at BE’s Sizewell B nuclear plant in Suffolk read more...
28 May 2008
Power cuts seen across the UK following an unplanned outage at BE’s Sizewell B nuclear plant in Suffolk read more...
Supply Costs on the Up Too
Analysis suggests that energy supply costs are on the up too with increases of 9% seen in gas and 15% in baseload power. read more...
15 May 2008
Analysis suggests that energy supply costs are on the up too with increases of 9% seen in gas and 15% in baseload power. read more...
EU unbundling bungled
EU still voting on how to unbundle the energy companies of Europe. read more...
29 February 2008
EU still voting on how to unbundle the energy companies of Europe. read more...
One grid operator
As usual the UK government attempt to unify abroad and alienate at home. read more...
14 December 2007
As usual the UK government attempt to unify abroad and alienate at home. read more...
25GW of off-shore wind farms
The DTI (as was) has highlighted a potential 25GW of off-shore wind farms, if accurate there are still significant planning obstacles. read more...
10 December 2007
The DTI (as was) has highlighted a potential 25GW of off-shore wind farms, if accurate there are still significant planning obstacles. read more...
Monthly Review - Jan 2012
Weather, oil sanctions and European debt concerns were the pushers and pullers this month as energy markets responded to competing indicators. Volatility was the only constant. read more...
01 February 2012
Weather, oil sanctions and European debt concerns were the pushers and pullers this month as energy markets responded to competing indicators. Volatility was the only constant. read more...
Weather Forecasts and Iranian Threats
Forecast and outturn cold weather drove gas and coal prices this week which in turn had an impact on the power curve. Iran threatened to cut off crude supplies ahead of the EU's proposed July sanctions; a move that would impact EU nations as they seek to find alternative sources ahead of the import ban. read more...
27 January 2012
Forecast and outturn cold weather drove gas and coal prices this week which in turn had an impact on the power curve. Iran threatened to cut off crude supplies ahead of the EU's proposed July sanctions; a move that would impact EU nations as they seek to find alternative sources ahead of the import ban. read more...
Warm weather weighs heavy on prices
Unseasonably warm weather and European debt crisis fears continued to influence the markets at the start of 2012. While oil did open the year up on the back of strong economic data from both the US and China, it retraced its steps on surprise US stockpile data combined with the Euro debt fears. read more...
06 January 2012
Unseasonably warm weather and European debt crisis fears continued to influence the markets at the start of 2012. While oil did open the year up on the back of strong economic data from both the US and China, it retraced its steps on surprise US stockpile data combined with the Euro debt fears. read more...
The Market in April 2011
In comparison to the activity seen in March – the energy markets seemed relatively sedate shedding some of the value along the way. read more...
28 April 2011
In comparison to the activity seen in March – the energy markets seemed relatively sedate shedding some of the value along the way. read more...
Confidence Returns to Market
Despite a continuation of cold conditions, confidence was seen returning to the market with a stabilisation of spot prices and comfortable system margins. There was some focus on the curve with seasonal contracts all reporting some gain on the previous weeks levels apart form Summer 13. read more...
20 December 2010
Despite a continuation of cold conditions, confidence was seen returning to the market with a stabilisation of spot prices and comfortable system margins. There was some focus on the curve with seasonal contracts all reporting some gain on the previous weeks levels apart form Summer 13. read more...
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