Prompt continues to surprise

03 October 2005



Prompt perhaps shows how the market may respond to a small increase in temperature, with its reaction to french strikers.

Potential strikes in the France have seen a four pound differential on price between Monday and Tuesday. Tuesday rising to £38/MWh. There is no doubt that a strike may put pressure on the french system and this in turn will put pressure on the Uk system to export, but only if there is enough over capacity to be able to do it. The market should reflect the potential increase in demand but not by £4 this seems excessive for what is really a storm in a teacup.

Winter 05 went into the ether of trading history with a damp squib closing below £50/MWh. There is no doubt that if Winter remains mild, and the prompt is not too sensitive as a result of consumers going onto prompt pricing structures, the market will beat £50/MWh. However with the market as jittery as people suggest then the likelihood is that players will see some serious spikes

read more ...

Prompt sets stall for the future.  

04 October 2005


"Now is the winter of our discontent". Shakespeare summed up the traders feelings for Winter 2005.  read more...

The Art of Arbitrage  

05 October 2005


As the market looks to react to fundamentals trading holes appear and the brave trader will exploit these holes ruthlessly. The trick is being able to see the wood from the trees.  read more...

NGC-Forecast that this Winter the lights will stay on.  

06 October 2005


Looks like the hype associated with cold Winters and the lights going out have been greatly exaggerated.  read more...

E.On ask for Carbon safety valves  

07 October 2005


E.On outline to the government the scenario of how things might turn out if it gets seriously dry and hot.  read more...

Curve hits a pattern  

10 October 2005


Winters fall as Summers stay still. Traders see the scaremongering and look at the raw facts. Buy the rumour; sell the fact.  read more...

Gas drives market south.  

11 October 2005


Spark spreaders trading gas and power with small effect on the spread but influencing both markets quite dramatically with falls across the board.  read more...

Winter up on delayed reaction to the Winter outlook  

12 October 2005


Doom mongers drive power prices up on the possibilities of an assasination and a repeat of World War One.  read more...

NISM spooks market  

13 October 2005


NISM is a cry for help from NGC, the effect on the market is always a reactionary buy, better to be long when there is a shortage of supply.  read more...

Gains reduced.  

14 October 2005


What goes up must come down, and the market's recent rise, was short lived as sellers, reacted to carbon and gas falls and favourable weather reports.  read more...

RWE nPower cries for clarification  

17 October 2005


The key to long term investment lies in a stable a market with few regulatory influences. The current UK market is the antithesis of this and so long term investment is being put on hold.  read more...

Continued weather uncertaintity pushes market  

18 October 2005


Prompt and the back end of curve fall, on gas and emissions led drops.  read more...

Growing Nuclear Media Campaign  

19 October 2005


Nuclear to be or not to be that is the question?  read more...

Bears return  

20 October 2005


Bears back on mild weather low gas demand and a correction from the heavy buying seen in the previous two months.  read more...

The Uk delagation gets fobbed off in Brussels  

21 October 2005


End users complain to Brussels, and it falls on deaf ears. Markets go to where it hurts ten years of low energy prices is not sustainable in the long run.  read more...

Bears return after bull thrash  

24 October 2005


Mild weather and plant availability pressure gas and power prices downwards.  read more...

Emissions markets fundamentals  

25 October 2005


Tricks nuances and little flavours which are starting to influence the emissions market are being explained.  read more...

Nuclear media campaign watch on-going  

26 October 2005


Nuclear media campaign continues as government talks up nuclear and RO.  read more...

Prompt falls but fails to take Q1 06 with it.  

27 October 2005


Beware a cold snap, an over zealous risk manager and the ostrich approach to trading.  read more...

Summer 06 rises on buying pressure  

28 October 2005


Summer 06 responds to a number of end users sensibly buying a product which looks historically low.  read more...

Bearish prompt- but many unknowns  

31 October 2005


Liquidity the oxygen of every market is on the decline.  read more...


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