Powerisk takes a look at Summer 05
With the second to last day of Summer 05 trading, at £28.65/MWh, for baseload Powerisk looks at this contract. Prompt prices took a knock trading down with warm weather and a general view that things were a little overpriced. However, this has not always been the case with Summer 05 trading to highs of £35/MWh in October 2004. The season started out trading at £15.50/MWh in 2003 when the generators were long and the supply margin looked healthy and gas prices were at 6p/therm. The recent rise in 2005 from £24.20/MWh to todays prices have been oil driven, and those who have not hedged now would be wise to let the hedge run to the prompt and hope that the price spikes of September are not too severe.
16 December 2004
At this time of year, traders are looking to square out positions in order to crystallize bonuses. They also look at next year, as to the clever plays in which they can make some money read more...
Weather Forecasts and Iranian Threats
Forecast and outturn cold weather drove gas and coal prices this week which in turn had an impact on the power curve. Iran threatened to cut off crude supplies ahead of the EU's proposed July sanctions; a move that would impact EU nations as they seek to find alternative sources ahead of the import ban. read more...
27 January 2012
Forecast and outturn cold weather drove gas and coal prices this week which in turn had an impact on the power curve. Iran threatened to cut off crude supplies ahead of the EU's proposed July sanctions; a move that would impact EU nations as they seek to find alternative sources ahead of the import ban. read more...
The downward trend comes to an end
The Power market was finally knocked of its downward slide on 19th July with oil and gas prices helping to break the trend. Oil received a boost from lower than expected stock levels (again) and hopes that a US debt deal could be reached. While a Eurozone Emergency Summit was held to rescue the Euro and throw a further lifeline to Greece. read more...
22 July 2011
The Power market was finally knocked of its downward slide on 19th July with oil and gas prices helping to break the trend. Oil received a boost from lower than expected stock levels (again) and hopes that a US debt deal could be reached. While a Eurozone Emergency Summit was held to rescue the Euro and throw a further lifeline to Greece. read more...
Energy Curves regain some of the Losses
The energy markets have recovered from the 'plunging losses' seen earlier in June which dragged down fuel and power prices. Prices across the power curve all report strong week on week gains. read more...
01 July 2011
The energy markets have recovered from the 'plunging losses' seen earlier in June which dragged down fuel and power prices. Prices across the power curve all report strong week on week gains. read more...
OPEC Fail to Reach Agreement
OPEC met on 8 June but failed to reach a consensus for the first time in 20 years -oil production levels remaining unchanged. read more...
08 June 2011
OPEC met on 8 June but failed to reach a consensus for the first time in 20 years -oil production levels remaining unchanged. read more...
High Oil Price Threatens Economic Recovery
The International Energy Agency (IEA) releases statement urging OPEC to increase supply or risk derailing the economic recovery. read more...
20 May 2011
The International Energy Agency (IEA) releases statement urging OPEC to increase supply or risk derailing the economic recovery. read more...
October -What to Expect
October is a month to identify some good value purchasing opportunities. History suggests we will see prices slip through the month before the real winter drivers kick in. read more...
03 October 2011
October is a month to identify some good value purchasing opportunities. History suggests we will see prices slip through the month before the real winter drivers kick in. read more...
Shale Gas - Latest UK estimates suggest enough for next 11 years
Cuadrilla Resources, the company at the forefront of Britain's Shale gas exploration released its first estimates of the amount of shale gas contained in the rocks of Lancashire. At 200 trillion cubic feet, the estimates are significant to say the least. read more...
22 September 2011
Cuadrilla Resources, the company at the forefront of Britain's Shale gas exploration released its first estimates of the amount of shale gas contained in the rocks of Lancashire. At 200 trillion cubic feet, the estimates are significant to say the least. read more...
Gas Imports Keep the System Balanced
Two GBAs in one week, use of Interruptible Supply Contracts and record temperatures but the system remains balanced and gas prices even drop during trading. read more...
08 January 2010
Two GBAs in one week, use of Interruptible Supply Contracts and record temperatures but the system remains balanced and gas prices even drop during trading. read more...
Gas Balancing Alert Issued
National Grid issues a rarely used Gas Balancing Alert following both supply and demand pressures. With severe weather warnings in place and freezing temperatures set to continue, will this be the last of the GBAs? read more...
05 January 2010
National Grid issues a rarely used Gas Balancing Alert following both supply and demand pressures. With severe weather warnings in place and freezing temperatures set to continue, will this be the last of the GBAs? read more...
EdF enters the world of competition..
EdF has capitalised on competitive energy markets across Europe, not least in the UK, while at the same time enjoying a dominant, competition free, environment at home in France. It looks as though the EC has finally caught up with them... read more...
05 November 2009
EdF has capitalised on competitive energy markets across Europe, not least in the UK, while at the same time enjoying a dominant, competition free, environment at home in France. It looks as though the EC has finally caught up with them... read more...
Market ticks up
The power market ticked up marginally today on the back of retail clients starting to hedge exposures out of April 09. read more...
04 March 2009
The power market ticked up marginally today on the back of retail clients starting to hedge exposures out of April 09. read more...
A Day for Downs ... then Ups
The front end of the power market curve saw some downs… and then ups as contracts seemed to reach a floor before rebounding. read more...
30 October 2008
The front end of the power market curve saw some downs… and then ups as contracts seemed to reach a floor before rebounding. read more...
Prompt continues to dominate
The market looks set to settle down after the last three weeks excitement it is probably no bad thing that the world starts to do some fundamental analysis. read more...
05 October 2007
The market looks set to settle down after the last three weeks excitement it is probably no bad thing that the world starts to do some fundamental analysis. read more...
Summary of the week.
The market continues to baffle as players gear up for the winter read more...
28 September 2007
The market continues to baffle as players gear up for the winter read more...
Peaks vs Baseload Ratios
The peak baseload ratio is a good traders guide to the state of the market. Much below 1.1 and you need to buying peaks, much above 1.5 and you need to be selling them, but it is perhaps more interesting to look at the individual ratios against each other. read more...
05 March 2006
The peak baseload ratio is a good traders guide to the state of the market. Much below 1.1 and you need to buying peaks, much above 1.5 and you need to be selling them, but it is perhaps more interesting to look at the individual ratios against each other. read more...
Summers Lack Shape
Oil price volatility, credit constraints and the Lehman collapse has all badly affected liquidity further out on the gas curve. read more...
27 October 2008
Oil price volatility, credit constraints and the Lehman collapse has all badly affected liquidity further out on the gas curve. read more...
Energy Intensives Users Group hint that Summer is a concern
The EIUG make some interesting observations but it is clear that the relationship between the spark and dark spread is of growing importance. read more...
30 January 2008
The EIUG make some interesting observations but it is clear that the relationship between the spark and dark spread is of growing importance. read more...
Curve anomalies cause high Summer 08
Sometimes the sum of the parts does not always equal the whole. Players must look at arbitrage between months and seasons. read more...
09 January 2008
Sometimes the sum of the parts does not always equal the whole. Players must look at arbitrage between months and seasons. read more...
Spark spread for 2008
Spark spread play looks to be hotting up but who has it right? read more...
04 January 2008
Spark spread play looks to be hotting up but who has it right? read more...
Prompt prices rise as interest turns to the back of the curve
Prompt still maintains traders affections. read more...
12 December 2007
Prompt still maintains traders affections. read more...
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