New Highs but peaks look cheap

08 July 2005

Never lose sight of the opportunities for spread trades, peak looks like good value.

Friday saw new highs across the power market with Winter 05 baseload trading at £63.85 and the peak trading at £74.00. Powerisk has talked previously about the ratio between peaks and baseload and this for winter is normally around 1.2 (in other words peaks trade at a 20% increase to baseload) at the moment with the rise in the market the baseload has risen ahead of the peaks and so peaks are trading at 1.15 or 15% higher than the baseload equivalent. This is an ideal opportunity for someone with a flexible deal to put a spread trade on, buying peaks and selling baseload fixing the spread at 1.15%, if the price drops the likelihood is that the spread will return to nearer 20% and the reverse trade can be put in place. On one standard lot size this is a realised profit of £109,000. The question that has to be asked is to you believe that the market will return to historical values of 1.2.


Baseload  Peak  Spread 

Related Articles
67 % Peaks vs Baseload Ratios  

05 March 2006


The peak baseload ratio is a good traders guide to the state of the market. Much below 1.1 and you need to buying peaks, much above 1.5 and you need to be selling them, but it is perhaps more interesting to look at the individual ratios against each other.  read more...

67 % First Government to break  

06 July 2005


German government complains about high energy prices. Will the UK follow suit?  read more...

67 % Peaks vs Baseload  

22 April 2005


Is it kismet H'ratio!  read more...

67 % Centrica and IP in the dark  

14 February 2005


Gas and power companies do a coal deal.  read more...

67 % Q1 05 falls by £1.00  

17 November 2004


 read more...


other articles on Baseload
Market ticks up  

04 March 2009


The power market ticked up marginally today on the back of retail clients starting to hedge exposures out of April 09.  read more...

A Day for Downs ... then Ups  

30 October 2008


The front end of the power market curve saw some downs… and then ups as contracts seemed to reach a floor before rebounding.  read more...

Prompt continues to dominate  

05 October 2007


The market looks set to settle down after the last three weeks excitement it is probably no bad thing that the world starts to do some fundamental analysis.  read more...

Summary of the week.  

28 September 2007


The market continues to baffle as players gear up for the winter  read more...

Peaks vs Baseload Ratios  

05 March 2006


The peak baseload ratio is a good traders guide to the state of the market. Much below 1.1 and you need to buying peaks, much above 1.5 and you need to be selling them, but it is perhaps more interesting to look at the individual ratios against each other.  read more...


other articles on Peak
The future RWE and GE  

27 December 2007


The future is electricity storage the first to achieve it will become very rich.  read more...

Peaks vs Baseload Ratios  

05 March 2006


The peak baseload ratio is a good traders guide to the state of the market. Much below 1.1 and you need to buying peaks, much above 1.5 and you need to be selling them, but it is perhaps more interesting to look at the individual ratios against each other.  read more...

First Government to break  

06 July 2005


German government complains about high energy prices. Will the UK follow suit?  read more...

Peaks vs Baseload  

22 April 2005


Is it kismet H'ratio!  read more...


other articles on Spread
February Monthly Round Up  

25 February 2011


February was dominated by news of unrest spreading throughout the Middle East and this had a direct impact on all aspects of the UK energy market with gains seen in the UK Power and NBP Gas curves.  read more...

Where has the market got left to go?  

03 September 2010


Clean spark spread prices in Winter’s 11 and 12 are trading below £5.00MWh (closing at £4.87 and £4.59 respectively). The equivalent Summer’s are not that much stronger asking some to ask is there anymore downside left at these levels.  read more...

Where's the certainty?  

23 December 2009


There was a time when you could quite comfortably forecast the running order of generation plant in the UK - but 2009 has seen a dramatic turn in the stack!  read more...

Drax up against it  

05 March 2008


Drax profit margins fall as competition will only get harder.  read more...

Teeside sold  

27 February 2008


Teeside sold to Suez and GdF.  read more...


Energy News by Date
2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004
december november october september august july jun may april march february january
RSS Feed
Keep up to date on energy trading news.
Click here to subscribe
RSS
Day Ahead Electricity Prices

1y  6m  3m  1m
Powerisk Online
Powerisk Online tools and services.
Click here to login
Glossary
Glossary
Powerisk glossary of power terminology.
Click here for glossary
Glossary