Conflicting fundamentals cause stability

20 July 2005

Warmer weather, gas prices up and another generation project planned. Its not going anywhere!

The power market hardly moved yesterday, depsite gas prices rising a little and warmer comeing in and pushing prompt prices down a little. Not surprisingly the bids and offers stayed away from each other and this did not help the trading atmosphere.

On another note, Petroplus announced its intention to build a CCGT, and the previous day Carron Energy owner of Uskmouth are looking to build a CCGT on the old A station site. This will give them immense flexibility with a gas and a power station, in close proximity to each other serving the industrial Welsh South. The growth in generation with new build projects suggests that long dated prices if all this predicted generation comes on the bars will be fundamental driver in pushing prices down. Winter 07 is trading at a discount to Winter 06 but in Powerisks opinion this spread is not wide enough.


Supply  Generation  Bear Market 

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