Winter 05 and Summer 06 up on oil fears, and an increase in buying activity.
Oil prices were blamed for encouraging bulls back into the market, and pushing Winter 05 up to a closing level of £43.30/MWh. This move effectively wiped out any losses from yesterday. Also the fears of tight supply margins have been spreading to Summer 06 which has risen to trade at £33.30, looking at where the remainder of Summer 05 is trading this is a £2 premia to buying forward.
18 May 2005
The picnic is still going on and the bears remain in the woods. read more...
02 February 2005
Winter 05 more volatile than the Summer. Now traditionally a good time to pick up Summer. read more...
25 January 2005
Winter 05 continues its bull run, hitting a two month high of £37.10. read more...
15 January 2005
Power plants move down merit order. read more...
We have reached peak oil .... again?
Another article in the press this week suggests that we face peak oil imminently (we say another article because various academics have been reporting this fact periodically over the past few years). In any event, whether peak oil (the point at which growth in supply is less than the growth in demand) occurred this week, last month or last year, the point is we have, or are about to, reach a turning point and something ought to be done. read more...
31 July 2009
Another article in the press this week suggests that we face peak oil imminently (we say another article because various academics have been reporting this fact periodically over the past few years). In any event, whether peak oil (the point at which growth in supply is less than the growth in demand) occurred this week, last month or last year, the point is we have, or are about to, reach a turning point and something ought to be done. read more...
What type of recession will it be.
Economists are trying hard to work out if this recession will be a V, W or square root type of recession. read more...
13 May 2009
Economists are trying hard to work out if this recession will be a V, W or square root type of recession. read more...
Oil eases off
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
15 April 2009
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
Recent oil price rises will not last
The recent oil price increase seen last week has already started to fall and Powerisk explains why it will continue to stall. read more...
25 March 2009
The recent oil price increase seen last week has already started to fall and Powerisk explains why it will continue to stall. read more...
Oil increases turn gas more bullish
The oil market rose marginally to an change in US stock levels. read more...
25 February 2009
The oil market rose marginally to an change in US stock levels. read more...
Out with the Old, In with the New
During the last day of trading in 2009, the UK Power curve closes down but what will the New Year hold in store? read more...
31 December 2009
During the last day of trading in 2009, the UK Power curve closes down but what will the New Year hold in store? read more...
Unseasonal Temperatures help to melt prices
Middle of November but no sign of wintery temperatures. The effect was to soften the prompt power market, which also felt the pressure from weak commodity curves. The downward trend fed through the power curve. read more...
16 November 2009
Middle of November but no sign of wintery temperatures. The effect was to soften the prompt power market, which also felt the pressure from weak commodity curves. The downward trend fed through the power curve. read more...
Market forgets basic principles and panics!
It could be said that the market over reacted today in the prompt market with a price rally on the back of a £142 half hourly cash out price. read more...
02 October 2009
It could be said that the market over reacted today in the prompt market with a price rally on the back of a £142 half hourly cash out price. read more...
What's Happening in the Back-End?
The back end of the curve is extremely difficult to trade. Those dipping their toe in tend to be Producers (with excessive length adjusting their risk positions) and Banks looking for some exposure. At the same time Retailers tend to be short-termist. read more...
19 June 2009
The back end of the curve is extremely difficult to trade. Those dipping their toe in tend to be Producers (with excessive length adjusting their risk positions) and Banks looking for some exposure. At the same time Retailers tend to be short-termist. read more...
Budget day sees the UK set lead on carbon
The chancellor stated that he wanted the UK to cut emissions by 34% by 2020. read more...
22 April 2009
The chancellor stated that he wanted the UK to cut emissions by 34% by 2020. read more...
Power Prices Ride the Crest of the Fuel Wave
A bullish fuel market fed through into the UK Power Market today with gains of over £2/MWh seen on most of the seasonal curve contracts. read more...
26 April 2010
A bullish fuel market fed through into the UK Power Market today with gains of over £2/MWh seen on most of the seasonal curve contracts. read more...
What type of recession will it be.
Economists are trying hard to work out if this recession will be a V, W or square root type of recession. read more...
13 May 2009
Economists are trying hard to work out if this recession will be a V, W or square root type of recession. read more...
Oil eases off
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
15 April 2009
Oil bulls retreated as the markets digested the US oil stock levels. read more...
Market ticks up
The power market ticked up marginally today on the back of retail clients starting to hedge exposures out of April 09. read more...
04 March 2009
The power market ticked up marginally today on the back of retail clients starting to hedge exposures out of April 09. read more...
Oil increases turn gas more bullish
The oil market rose marginally to an change in US stock levels. read more...
25 February 2009
The oil market rose marginally to an change in US stock levels. read more...
Summers Lack Shape
Oil price volatility, credit constraints and the Lehman collapse has all badly affected liquidity further out on the gas curve. read more...
27 October 2008
Oil price volatility, credit constraints and the Lehman collapse has all badly affected liquidity further out on the gas curve. read more...
Energy Intensives Users Group hint that Summer is a concern
The EIUG make some interesting observations but it is clear that the relationship between the spark and dark spread is of growing importance. read more...
30 January 2008
The EIUG make some interesting observations but it is clear that the relationship between the spark and dark spread is of growing importance. read more...
Curve anomalies cause high Summer 08
Sometimes the sum of the parts does not always equal the whole. Players must look at arbitrage between months and seasons. read more...
09 January 2008
Sometimes the sum of the parts does not always equal the whole. Players must look at arbitrage between months and seasons. read more...
Spark spread for 2008
Spark spread play looks to be hotting up but who has it right? read more...
04 January 2008
Spark spread play looks to be hotting up but who has it right? read more...
Prompt prices rise as interest turns to the back of the curve
Prompt still maintains traders affections. read more...
12 December 2007
Prompt still maintains traders affections. read more...
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