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2nd Quarter Growth at 1.1%; What Role For Energy  

23 July 2010


Preliminary figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) suggests the UK economy grew by 1.1% in the second quarter, up from the previous quarter's 0.3%. While the figures are preliminary (and based on around 40% of the ultimate data), what they do show is that construction, a relatively small part of the economy, contributed significantly to this growth figure. With 6 out of 10 civil engineering firms looking to the energy and water sectors for their income streams, it seems energy has a role to play in underpinning the recovery.  read more...

Green Investment Bank still a Concept  

16 July 2010


Leading figures from across industry warned that the need for new tools to finance future investment in infrastructure are necessary to secure Britain's growth as a low carbon economy. While the coalitions Green Investment Bank (GIB) is supported, it is important to recognise that it is still at present only a concept.  read more...

Suddenly it's "British Petroleum"  

02 June 2010


A name not used in a very long time, but suddenly the US are quick to refer to BP by its old name of British Petroleum, hoping perhaps to distance itself from blame regarding the disastrous oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. But as the US announces a criminal investigation and as BP shares suffer further should the British economy concern itself?  read more...

A Week for Releasing Figures  

20 April 2010


With the political debate heating up; more 'head to heads' scheduled and with the News Channels pouring over polls, polls of polls and more polls - then the economic figures coming out this week are surely going to add a lot more ingredients to the boiling pot.  read more...

UK Manufacturing slides further  

07 December 2009


Corus announce plans to mothball most of its Teeside Cast Products steelmaking site - resulting in a loss of over 1,700 jobs and slate the UK Government at the same time for its lack of support.  read more...

Demand Led Economic Recovery?  

09 October 2009


What constitutes real demand is a question increasingly being asked, not least because it is viewed as a key indicator to signal the start of economic recovery. However a rise in demand may not necessarily mean a lift to the economy.  read more...

What type of recession will it be.  

13 May 2009


Economists are trying hard to work out if this recession will be a V, W or square root type of recession.  read more...

Watch out for copper  

09 April 2009


Copper is seen as one of the best barometers of when a recession is coming to an end.  read more...

G20 has a lot to answer  

03 April 2009


The famous $1trillion barrier was reached by the G20 and the markets all rose on the ebullient nature of the meeting, but is it real.  read more...

Ofgem enquiry completed  

18 March 2009


Ofgem have completed their competition probe and not really delivered for business.  read more...

Deflation versus Hyper Inflation  

18 February 2009


The economic circumstances are forcing many businesses to look at whether we face a world of declining growth or rampant uncontrollable growth.  read more...

Gas takes the Lion's Share  

24 December 2008


Some interesting figures and statistics emerged from the Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC) Energy Trends report published this week - increased power demand, improved efficiencies and record fuel percentage shares.  read more...

Reversal for January & February  

04 December 2008


Historically, the January gas contract has traded above the February contract - this trend has been reversed in recent weeks.  read more...

Demand Destruction helps squeeze the Prompt  

25 November 2008


The front end of the curve came under pressure from all directions. Softer coal and gas markets fed in as well as continuing 'demand destruction'.  read more...

Extended Shutdowns will impact Industrial Demand.  

19 November 2008


Expectations regards a reduction in Industrial demand are beginning to crystallise with December being the crunch month.  read more...

British Gas hikes are designed to lose customers  

13 August 2008


BG have grown their business but it has come at a price and this is something which they are keen to address hence the increase in prices.  read more...

Energy Companies look set to raise prices  

07 August 2008


All the energy suppliers are bound to increase prices by double digits, but in reality some are keen not to be the price leader as they do not want to grow their supply buinesses in these uncertain times.  read more...

Government Intervention and Stagflation  

10 June 2008


The markets are looking at whether a government could intervene with the markets but there is a real danger this could exacerbate the possibility of stagflation.  read more...

Supply Costs on the Up Too  

15 May 2008


Analysis suggests that energy supply costs are on the up too with increases of 9% seen in gas and 15% in baseload power.  read more...

No Quick Get-away for Aviation  

08 May 2008


It seems that the aviation sector will still be included in the EU Emission Trading Scheme for 2011. The European Parliament is sticking by its tough proposal to include them despite the sector remaining unprepared for trading.  read more...

Price rises continue to frighten the markets  

24 April 2008


Market price rises causing players to look at the long term.  read more...

The art of front running  

06 March 2008


Front running a position can cause some players to look good, but it might be the way to start to trade a contango market  read more...

Nuclear debate rages on.  

07 September 2007


Gordon brown, the consultation and a bad decision which seems to be continuing unopposed.  read more...

Why the carbon market in 2050 might change  

06 August 2007


Carbon requests can lead to voters votes but industries have to make heavy provisions and it makes investment more difficult.  read more...

Bill validation and ethics  

21 June 2007


How necessary is bill checking? Once upon a time it was totally justified but nowadays it is more of a fine call.  read more...

Carbon Trading - no longer just the big guys  

22 May 2007


The UK's emission trading scheme is expected to cover as many as 5000 additional businesses by 2009 including supermarkets, hotel chains, banks and pubs.  read more...

Weather derivatives  

28 March 2007


The key to working out risks is knowing what they are and how to hedge them, too many players take on basis risks because they believe there is perfect correlation.  read more...

Power companies playing a canny game  

27 February 2007


Power players discount the gas price more heavily than the electricity price will the regulator notice.  read more...

Prices feel stuck  

22 February 2007


The market knows that the bottom cannot be too far away but it is being cagey when it wanst to test the low levels.  read more...

Is buying far dated smart?  

19 September 2006


Some of the long dated products look like bargains but are there other ways of buying this.  read more...

Making sense of power prices.  

11 September 2006


Power prices have fallen in the past 3 months, 2009 is trading at a £5 discount to 2007, yet suppliers are increasing their tariffs and offering contracts to fix this year’s price for the next few years. Does it make sense?  read more...

Is now a good time to buy April Annual 07  

27 July 2006


It may look tempting as everyhing is trading at a discount to 2006 but in reality there is still alot of price premia built in to the back end of the curve on nothing more than what has happened this year. Fundamentals for next year suggest that the price should fall further.  read more...

When is a good time to trade the quarters or months  

21 July 2006


November and Q4 are not as cheap as they could be, a mild winter more supply in both gas and power than last year suggest that the market is overpriced.  read more...

Bears test market  

27 June 2006


Technicals look to be holding the Winter 06 baseload contract above £60 but players must be aware that technicals are working because the world cup has quitened down some the incumbent players and as long as the market jobs around no one will worry.  read more...

The Rising Costs of Energy  

14 June 2006


Higher energy prices have helped push up inflation which in turn is likely to push up interest rates.  Those exposed to rising fuel costs are now likely to start feeling an indirect impact on their borrowing costs.  read more...

Is now a good time for a three or five year deal.  

05 May 2006


Five year deals may look attractive because the market is in backwardation but in reality there will be other opportunities as more detail on fuel fundamentals is released. No harm in hedging some exposure for five years but not all of it.  read more...

Traders focus on Winter 06.  

20 March 2006


Bulls are returning to the market and Winter 06 is getting attention but a fundamental shift has already been seen in the market to reflect emissions prices, and so the near doubling of Winter contracts seen last year is unlikely for this year.  read more...

Does shape matter?  

27 February 2006


Under the NETA rules the market would always favour those who are flexible and able to adapt. As stability in market prices is becoming more normal, this allows players to assess the market even start to think about creating flexibility within their own shape.  read more...

Unsubtle profits, will draw out bears.  

24 February 2006


Huge profits seen across the sector with Centrica EdF and RWE posting record numbers, is it good for the long term?  read more...

Scottish Power increase prices to domestic players.  

10 February 2006


Retail customers now have to look at fixed versus variable in the same way as their mortgage, and buying a mortgage is normally painful, and so inadvertently by making the market more complex the suppliers reduce churn.  read more...

Options Markets for Large Customer  

06 February 2006


Options may look attractive, but it might be worth looking in detail at all the costs associated with entering into this kind of insurance premium.  read more...

Volumes up in the OTC market  

02 February 2006


Volumes up on December but down on the year and this does not bode well for the future if the drop continues.  read more...

The other traders thought pattern.  

06 January 2006


Traders sell curve as an opening gambit to put positions on for 2006. Customers wary of a potential rise, look at reassessing the market in front of them and try to think like traders.  read more...

One traders thought pattern.  

05 January 2006


Traders buy up curve as an opening gambit to put positions on for 2006. Customers wary of a potential rise, look at reassessing the market in front of them and try to think like traders.  read more...

Security of supply expected to dominate 2006  

04 January 2006


A year of investment and short term uncertaintity ahead of us. Customers have to be more bold at making decisions and placing bids in the market. This will give them confidence and the market liquidity and stability. This allows growth in options markets and allows the market to develop.  read more...

Christmas Week sees drop in prices  

22 December 2005


Very quiet as opportunities are thin on the ground. Time reflect on 2005 as a volatile year and hope that 2006 brings more liquidity to the UK power market.  read more...

Power and Gas prices fall on the back of profit taking  

24 November 2005


The profit taking in the gas and power market saw a small sell off, but the market remains jittery and the fall bearing in mind other commodity news is small.  read more...

Are the markets broken?  

14 November 2005


The market is becoming more volatile less liquid and players are spooked, it is not broken, it is just more scary to operate it.  read more...

Summer 06 rises on buying pressure  

28 October 2005


Summer 06 responds to a number of end users sensibly buying a product which looks historically low.  read more...

Prompt falls but fails to take Q1 06 with it.  

27 October 2005


Beware a cold snap, an over zealous risk manager and the ostrich approach to trading.  read more...

Prompt continues to surprise.  

03 October 2005


Prompt perhaps shows how the market may respond to a small increase in temperature, with its reaction to french strikers.  read more...

Met Weather Prediction  

28 September 2005


Weather is difficult to predict long term but in the short term it is the key fundamental driver on price, and this is why prompt prices for next week have risen.  read more...

Is Flexible Purchasing the way forward?  

23 August 2005


Flexible purchasing is a change for the best but it needs care and management in order to get it right.  read more...

Power Market eases off.  

02 August 2005


The power market sags under the weight of its fundamental friends. Steel industry points to unfair advatages in Europe.  read more...

First Government to break  

06 July 2005


German government complains about high energy prices. Will the UK follow suit?  read more...

Rising Market = Long Term Deals  

27 June 2005


"The most valuable commodity I know of is information." Wall Street  read more...

Is seasonality dead  

23 June 2005


The differences between Winter and Summer are getting narrower, but this may indirectly cause more problems. If the Swiss trains stop what next?  read more...

Prompt prices well bid  

20 June 2005


Curves up everywhere, all fuelled by fuel.  read more...


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EdF enters the world of competition..  

05 November 2009


EdF has capitalised on competitive energy markets across Europe, not least in the UK, while at the same time enjoying a dominant, competition free, environment at home in France. It looks as though the EC has finally caught up with them...  read more...

Demand Led Economic Recovery?  

09 October 2009


What constitutes real demand is a question increasingly being asked, not least because it is viewed as a key indicator to signal the start of economic recovery. However a rise in demand may not necessarily mean a lift to the economy.  read more...

Market forgets basic principles and panics!  

02 October 2009


It could be said that the market over reacted today in the prompt market with a price rally on the back of a £142 half hourly cash out price.  read more...

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